$5.66K
1
5
$5.66K
1
5
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
More markets for the EFL Championship game, scheduled for December 6 at 7:30 AM ET.
Prediction markets are pricing in a significant underdog status for Charlton Athletic in their December 2025 EFL Championship fixture against Portsmouth. The leading market, "Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?" is trading at just 40% on Polymarket. This price implies the market sees a Charlton victory as considerably less likely than not, assigning roughly a 2-in-5 chance. With Portsmouth not having a direct "win" market, the implied probability for a Portsmouth win or draw sits at 60%. The market shows thin liquidity with only $64,000 in volume, indicating lower trader confidence and higher potential price volatility.
The pricing reflects Portsmouth's stronger historical and recent trajectory compared to Charlton Athletic. Portsmouth, having secured promotion to the Championship, is likely viewed as a side with momentum and a more robust squad construction for the second tier. Charlton Athletic, in contrast, has faced prolonged challenges in achieving promotion from League One, suggesting a potential quality gap. The match being at The Valley may provide a slight boost to Charlton, but not enough to make them market favorites. The odds fundamentally capture the consensus that Portsmouth is the more stable and higher-caliber team heading into this fixture.
Given the match date is in the distant future for a prediction market, the primary catalyst for odds movement will be the performance of both clubs throughout the 2025/26 season up to December. A surprisingly strong start by Charlton, or a poor one by Portsmouth, would see Charlton's win probability rise significantly from 40%. Conversely, confirmation of the quality gap through early season results could push Charlton's odds lower. Key injuries to star players for either side in the weeks leading up to the match would also cause immediate repricing. The thin liquidity means any major team news could create sharp price swings.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic concerns the upcoming English Football League Championship match between Charlton Athletic Football Club and Portsmouth Football Club, scheduled for Saturday, December 6, 2025. The EFL Championship is the second tier of the English football league system, one level below the Premier League, and represents a critical competition for promotion to the top flight. This specific fixture is a South Coast derby of significant regional interest, pitting two historic clubs with passionate fanbases against each other in a contest with potential implications for the league table. The match is part of the 2025/26 season, a campaign where both clubs will be aiming to achieve their respective objectives, whether that be promotion, playoff contention, or consolidation. Interest in this event stems from the clubs' histories, their rivalry, and the unpredictable nature of Championship football, where any team can beat another on a given day. Prediction markets allow participants to wager on various outcomes of the match, such as the final score, goal scorers, or match events, based on analysis of team form, injuries, and tactical setups. The timing in early December places it during a busy festive period in the football calendar, adding to its importance as teams jockey for position before the halfway point of the season.
The rivalry between Charlton Athletic and Portsmouth, while not the most frequent in English football, carries historical weight due to geographical proximity and shared periods in the same divisions. Both clubs have experienced dramatic rises and falls. Charlton Athletic, founded in 1905, enjoyed a sustained period in the Premier League from 1998 to 2007 under manager Alan Curbishley, famously winning promotion via a dramatic playoff final at Wembley in 1998. Their home, The Valley, has a storied history. Portsmouth, founded in 1898, has a fanbase known for its fervent support. Their modern peak came in the 2000s, winning the FA Cup in 2008 under Harry Redknapp and featuring in European competition. However, both clubs suffered severe financial crises and subsequent relegations, falling as low as League One. Their paths have crossed multiple times in the second and third tiers. A notable recent encounter was in the 2019/20 League One season, where both were promotion contenders. The historical context adds a layer of narrative, as this fixture represents two former Premier League clubs striving to recapture past glories, making their clashes a barometer of their respective revival projects.
Beyond the three points at stake, this match matters significantly for the financial and sporting trajectories of both clubs. The EFL Championship is the most lucrative second division in world football, with promotion to the Premier League estimated to be worth at least 170 million pounds in future revenue. Every match, especially against direct rivals, influences the league table and a club's chances of reaching the playoffs or avoiding relegation. For the local economies of Greenwich and Portsmouth, successful teams boost hospitality, merchandise sales, and local business on matchdays. Socially, the fixture is a major event for two large, passionate supporter bases. A positive result can galvanize a fanbase for months, while a defeat can increase pressure on managers and boardrooms. The downstream consequences include potential changes in transfer market strategy in the January window, which opens shortly after this December fixture. For prediction markets, the game represents a complex data point where historical performance, current form, and intangible derby factors intersect, attracting wagers from analytical and sentimental perspectives alike.
As of the lead-up to the 2025/26 season, both clubs are in their pre-season preparation phases. The exact squad compositions for the December 2025 match will be shaped by the summer 2025 and January 2025 transfer windows. Charlton Athletic will be looking to build on their 2024/25 campaign under Nathan Jones, aiming for a top-half finish. Portsmouth will be focused on consolidating their Championship status after promotion, with manager John Mousinho integrating new signings suited to the higher level. The latest developments will include pre-season friendlies, transfer news, and any changes in managerial personnel or club ownership that occur between now and the fixture date. Injury updates to key players like Alfie May or Colby Bishop in the weeks before the match will be critical for analysts and prediction market participants.
The exact kick-off time for the Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth match on Saturday, December 6, 2025, will be confirmed by the EFL and broadcasters closer to the date. Championship matches are typically scheduled for 3:00 PM GMT, but can be moved for television coverage.
In the UK, the match will likely be available via the Sky Sports red button service or through the clubs' respective iFollow streaming platforms for international viewers. The specific broadcast details will be announced by the EFL in the weeks preceding the fixture.
The Valley, home of Charlton Athletic, has an all-seater capacity of 27,111. It is located in Charlton, London, and has been the club's home ground for most of its history since 1919.
Yes, both clubs have Premier League history. Charlton Athletic were in the Premier League from 1998 to 2007. Portsmouth played in the top flight from 2003 to 2010, famously winning the FA Cup in 2008 during this period.
Historical head-to-head records are not dominated by a single player. The all-time top scorer in matches between Charlton and Portsmouth would require a detailed analysis of historical data, as many players have scored in this fixture across multiple divisions over decades.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
Share your predictions and analysis with other traders. Coming soon!
5 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 72% |
| Poly | 50% |
| Poly | 50% |
| Poly | 41% |
| Poly | 28% |
No related news found
Add this market to your website
<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/tIISRH" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC - More Markets"></iframe>