Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
Daegu Pegasus vs. KCC Egis
Total Volume
$27.10K
Events
1
Markets
1
Daegu Pegasus vs. KCC Egis
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $27.10K
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $27.10K
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
Daegu Pegasus vs. KCC Egis
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 0% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
0%
Top Probability
$27.10K
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
In the upcoming KBL game, scheduled for March 29 at 1:00AM ET: If the Daegu Pegasus win, the market will resolve to "Daegu Pegasus". If the KCC Egis win, the market will resolve to "KCC Egis". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting
Prediction markets currently see the Daegu Pegasus vs. KCC Egis game as essentially a toss-up. The market gives the Daegu Pegasus a very slight edge, with about a 53% chance of winning. In simpler terms, traders collectively believe there is roughly a 1 in 2 chance for either team. This indicates very low confidence in a clear favorite, suggesting a game that could easily go either way.
Why the Market Sees It This Way
The near-even odds likely reflect the competitive nature of the Korean Basketball League (KBL) and the specific circumstances of these teams. The KCC Egis, based in Busan, are one of the league's most successful franchises historically. The Daegu Pegasus, formerly the Daegu Orions, have had more mixed results but can be a challenging opponent, especially at home.
A key factor is the timing of this late-season game. By late March, team standings, player fatigue, and potential strategic resting of players for the playoffs can make outcomes less predictable. If one team has already secured its playoff position, its motivation and lineup might differ from a team fighting for a spot. This uncertainty is captured in the market's coin-flip odds.
Key Dates and Events to Watch
The main event is the game itself on March 29 at 1:00 AM ET. The primary signal to watch will be the official team announcements regarding player availability in the 24 hours before tip-off. Any news about key players being rested due to injury or playoff preparation could shift the odds significantly. Also monitor the KBL standings in the coming days, as a clearer playoff picture could change the perceived motivation for each team.
How Reliable Are These Predictions?
For regular-season sports games with balanced odds, prediction markets are often quite accurate, as they efficiently aggregate many opinions. However, this specific market has a major limitation: very little money is wagered. With only a niche following, the current 53% price may not be a robust consensus and could be more easily swayed by a few new bets. While markets are good at forecasting sports, the low volume here means we should view this specific probability as a rough indicator, not a strong signal.
Current Market Outlook
The prediction market on Polymarket currently prices a Daegu Pegasus win at 53 cents, implying a 53% probability. This indicates a marginal favorite status for the Pegasus, but the market sees the game as essentially a toss-up. With the opposing "KCC Egis" contract trading at 47%, the spread is narrow. The market has only $0 in volume, meaning this price is not established by significant trading activity and is highly preliminary.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The slight edge for Daegu Pegasus likely reflects their recent head-to-head performance or current standing in the Korean Basketball League (KBL). KCC Egis, however, is a perennial powerhouse and one of the league's most successful franchises. Their historical dominance and roster talent, often featuring high-profile imports and national team players, mean they are rarely clear underdogs. The near-even odds suggest the market is weighing the Egis' strong program reputation against potential short-term factors, such as player injuries or the Pegasus's home-court advantage for this specific matchup. Without recent game data to analyze, the pricing defaults to a slight nod to the home team.
What Could Change These Odds
This market will be volatile until closer to the March 29 tip-off. The primary catalyst will be the release of official injury reports and starting lineups. A confirmed absence of a key Egis star would likely shift odds decisively toward Daegu. Conversely, news of a major Pegasus player being sidelined would make KCC Egis the clear favorite. Pre-game betting odds from major sportsbooks, once published, will also heavily influence this prediction market's price. Given the extremely thin liquidity, a single informed trader placing a modest bet could swing the probability by 10 percentage points or more.
Background Context
The KBL season is a 54-game marathon where every playoff position is fiercely contested. A late-season game like this can have significant implications for postseason seeding. KCC Egis, based in Busan, has won multiple championships and is consistently a title contender. Daegu Pegasus, while having periods of competitiveness, typically fights for a mid-table or playoff berth. The context of where each team sits in the standings at the end of March will be a major fundamental driver for this game's outcome, beyond any single player matchup.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.