Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Name: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
End: 2026-10-21T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$4.08K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Vol

$4.08K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $4.08K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.08K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	74%
Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	64%
Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	62%
Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	55%
Set 2 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	Poly	50%
Game Spread: Felix Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Casper Ruud (+1.5)	Poly	49%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	Poly	49%
Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	48%
Set 1 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	Poly	47%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	Poly	42%
Casper Ruud vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	41%
Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	40%
Set Handicap: Felix Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Casper Ruud (+1.5)	Poly	35%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

74%

Top Probability

$4.08K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Casper Ruud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 21, 2026 (9 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime.

This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Casper Ruud.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime.

This market will resolve to "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $74.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Casper Ruud: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [Felix Auger-Aliassime: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Casper Ruud: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [Felix Auger-Aliassime: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Casper Ruud: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Felix Auger-Aliassime: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Casper Ruud vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Felix Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Casper Ruud (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Felix Auger-Aliassime: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [Casper Ruud: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Felix Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Casper Ruud (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Felix Auger-Aliassime: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Casper Ruud: 51.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Volume$4.08K

Markets16

16 of 16

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POLYMARKET

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

POLYMARKET

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

LiquidityMEDIUM

Health Score45/100

Leading Outcome58.5%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Set 1 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

LiquidityLOW

Health Score35/100

Leading Outcome53.5%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Set 2 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

POLYMARKET

Casper Ruud vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Casper Ruud vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3

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Oct 21, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/tPXQKq" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime"></iframe>

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

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Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

AI Analysis

About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Markets (16)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Set 1 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Set 1 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Set 2 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Set 2 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Casper Ruud vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Casper Ruud vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Ruud vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Set 1 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Set 1 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Set 2 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Set 2 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Casper Ruud vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Casper Ruud vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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