GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl

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Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Will Margaret Qualley perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

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Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Margaret Qualley perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	32%
Will Sydney Sweeney perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	21%
Will Anya Taylor-Joy perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	17%
Will Zendaya perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	9%
Will Florence Pugh perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	8%
Will Jodie Comer perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	7%
Will Vanessa Kirby perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	5%
Will Lily James perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	5%
Will Ana de Armas perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	5%
Will Mikey Madison perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	5%
Will Emma Mackey perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	5%
Will Cailee Spaeny perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	5%
Will Adria Arjona perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	5%
Will Hunter Schafer perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	4%
Will Daisy Edgar-Jones perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	4%
Will Alicia Vikander perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

32%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

Who will play the next Bond girl? If X performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Who will play the next Bond girl?

If X performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Zendaya performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, Zendaya satisfies the Payout Criterion if "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zendaya perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Vanessa Kirby perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Sydney Sweeney perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Mikey Madison perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Margaret Qualley perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Lily James perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jodie Comer perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Hunter Schafer perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Florence Pugh perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Emma Mackey perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Daisy Edgar-Jones perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Cailee Spaeny perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Anya Taylor-Joy perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Ana de Armas perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Alicia Vikander perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Adria Arjona perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl

Volume$0.00

Markets16

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KALSHI

Will Margaret Qualley perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.0¢No 68.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Margaret Qualley perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

If Margaret Qualley performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, Margaret Qualley satisfies the Pa

KALSHI

Will Sydney Sweeney perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Sydney Sweeney perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

If Sydney Sweeney performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, Sydney Sweeney satisfies the Payout

KALSHI

Will Anya Taylor-Joy perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Anya Taylor-Joy perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

If Anya Taylor-Joy performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, Anya Taylor-Joy satisfies the Payo

KALSHI

Will Zendaya perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Zendaya perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

If Zendaya performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, Zendaya satisfies the Payout Criterion if

KALSHI

Will Florence Pugh perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Florence Pugh perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

If Florence Pugh performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, Florence Pugh satisfies the Payout C

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/tRW4pD" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl"></iframe>

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Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl

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Will Margaret Qualley perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

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Events (1)

Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl

Markets (16)

Will Margaret Qualley perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Margaret Qualley perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Sydney Sweeney perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Sydney Sweeney perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Anya Taylor-Joy perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Anya Taylor-Joy perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Zendaya perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Zendaya perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Florence Pugh perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Florence Pugh perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

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Will Margaret Qualley perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl

Will Margaret Qualley perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Margaret Qualley perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Sydney Sweeney perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Sydney Sweeney perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Anya Taylor-Joy perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Anya Taylor-Joy perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Zendaya perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Zendaya perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Florence Pugh perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

Will Florence Pugh perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

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