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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?
Vol

PM $50.7K

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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is November 2 at 0.4%.

Polymarket

  1. November 20.4%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $50.7K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax. This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

K 224.2K contracts
Will legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

PM $197.6K · K 667.1K contracts

Will Export-control chip security become law this year?

Kalshi: Will legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 36%Rules differK Yes 36%

Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?

Kalshi: Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4.8%Rules differK Yes 26%

Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?

Kalshi: Will legislation that prohibits data center power usage from increasing consumers' electric utility bills become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 17%Rules differK Yes 17%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will Trump eliminate capital gains taxes on crypto?

Will Trump eliminate capital gains taxes on crypto?

PM $121.6K · K 72.0K contracts

Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

Kalshi: Will becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 7%Rules differK Yes 3.1%

Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

Kalshi: Will becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.5%Rules differK Yes 3.1%

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?

Kalshi: Will becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 3.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?

K 90.5K contracts
Will Kevin Warsh say Good Day at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94%
Will Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 91.5%
Will Kevin Warsh say Uncertainty at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 89.5%
+44 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Massachusetts suspend its gas tax?

Will Massachusetts suspend its gas tax?

K 4.1K contracts
Will legislation suspending the Massachusetts gasoline tax become law before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will New York tax QSBS gains?

Will New York tax QSBS gains?

K 3.0K contracts
Will legislation that decouples New York tax law from the federal Qualified Small Business Stock (QSBS) gain exclusion under IRC §1202 become law in New York before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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