GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Will wage satisfaction hit a new low in 2026?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will wage satisfaction hit a new low in 2026?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will satisfaction with wage compensation fall below 52.3% in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will satisfaction with wage compensation fall below 52.3% in 2026?	Kalshi	95%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In 2026 If any 2026 NY Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations Labor Market Survey reports that satisfaction with wage compensation at respondents’ current jobs is below 52.3%, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “wage satisfaction” means the NY Fed SCE Labor Market Survey measure for satisfaction with wage compensation at respondents’ current jobs. The March 2026 value of 52.3% will be treated as the existing series low. A value equal to 52.3% will not be sufficient for

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will wage satisfaction hit a new low in 2026?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If any 2026 NY Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations Labor Market Survey reports that satisfaction with wage compensation at respondents’ current jobs is below 52.3%, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “wage satisfaction” means the NY Fed SCE Labor Market Survey measure for satisfaction with wage compensation at respondents’ current jobs.

The March 2026 value of 52.3% will be treated as the existing series low. A value equal to 52.3% will not be sufficient for 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If any 2026 NY Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations Labor Market Survey reports that satisfaction with wage compensation at respondents’ current jobs is below 52.3%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “wage satisfaction” means the NY Fed SCE Labor Market Su"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will satisfaction with wage compensation fall below 52.3% in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics