Market snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?

Reported volume

PM $234.25

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Markets

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#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?

Vol

PM $234.25

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is HotSchedules at 45%.

Polymarket

HotSchedules45%
Shadowrocket30.5%
Chromagraph Camera24%
Tiny Computers3.8%
Deck-Man: Cassette Player3.8%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

6 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	Poly	45.0%
Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	Poly	30.5%
Will Chromagraph Camera be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	Poly	24.0%
Will Tiny Computers be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	Poly	3.8%
Will Deck-Man: Cassette Player be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	Poly	3.8%
Will Procreate Pocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	Poly	1.1%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $234.25

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $234.25
Coverage: 6 of 6 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6439177; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-shadowrocket-be-2-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-november-6
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 30.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 69.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).

Contract: Will Chromagraph Camera be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6439179; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-chromagraph-camera-be-2-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-november-6
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 24.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 76.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).

Contract: Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6439181; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-hotschedules-be-2-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-november-6
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 45.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 55.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).

Contract: Will Procreate Pocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6439183; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-procreate-pocket-be-2-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-november-6
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $234.25
Outcome Yes: 1.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).

Contract: Will Tiny Computers be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6439185; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-tiny-computers-be-2-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-november-6
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 3.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).

Contract: Will Deck-Man: Cassette Player be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6439187; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-deck-man-cassette-player-be-2-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-november-6
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 3.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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