Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIMentions

What will Citigroup say during their next earnings call?

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$24.75K

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What will Citigroup say during their next earnings call?

Vol

$24.75K

Events

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Kalshi

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markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $24.75K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

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Volume DistributionTotal: $24.75K

100%

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14 markets tracked

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Custody)

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Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Custody)	Kalshi	96%
What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Buyback / Buy Back)	Kalshi	93%
What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Banamex)	Kalshi	90%
What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (FICO)	Kalshi	89%
What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)	Kalshi	88%
What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Credit Card)	Kalshi	82%
What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Dividend)	Kalshi	77%
What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headcount)	Kalshi	71%
What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Basel 3)	Kalshi	61%
What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Tailwind)	Kalshi	38%
What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)	Kalshi	35%
What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)	Kalshi	31%
What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Recession)	Kalshi	11%
What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Hormuz / Iran)	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$24.75K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

On Oct 13, 2026 If X is said by any Citigroup Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Citigroup Inc. earnings call, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Citigroup Inc. earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Citigroup Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plur

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Citigroup say during their next earnings call?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 13, 2026

If X is said by any Citigroup Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Citigroup Inc. earnings call, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Citigroup Inc. earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Citigroup Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plur

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tariff is said by any Citigroup Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Citigroup Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved
Video of the Citigroup Inc. earnings call.
If a consensus by Kalshi emp"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $24.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $352
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Tailwind)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $43
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Recession)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $361
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $398
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Hormuz / Iran)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $187
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $282
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headcount)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $158
  DATA: [Yes: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (FICO)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Dividend)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $253
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Custody)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Credit Card)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Buyback / Buy Back)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Basel 3)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $262
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Banamex)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $6.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIMentions

What will Citigroup say during their next earnings call?

Volume$24.75K

Markets14

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KALSHI

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Custody)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Custody)

If Custody is said by any Citigroup Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Citigroup Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Citigroup Inc. earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi em

KALSHI

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Buyback / Buy Back)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Buyback / Buy Back)

If Buyback / Buy Back is said by any Citigroup Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Citigroup Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Citigroup Inc. earnings call. If a consensus b

KALSHI

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Banamex)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Banamex)

If Banamex is said by any Citigroup Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Citigroup Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Citigroup Inc. earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi em

KALSHI

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (FICO)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (FICO)

If FICO is said by any Citigroup Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Citigroup Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Citigroup Inc. earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi emplo

KALSHI

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHISports

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)

If Inflation is said by any Citigroup Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Citigroup Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Citigroup Inc. earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi

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What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Custody)

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Events (1)

What will Citigroup say during their next earnings call?

Markets (14)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Custody)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Custody)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Buyback / Buy Back)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Buyback / Buy Back)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Banamex)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Banamex)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (FICO)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (FICO)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)

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What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Custody)

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What will Citigroup say during their next earnings call?

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Custody)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Custody)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Buyback / Buy Back)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Buyback / Buy Back)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Banamex)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Banamex)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (FICO)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (FICO)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)

What will Citigroup Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)

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