Who will win American Idol? | PredictPedia

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30 markets tracked

Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

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Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	52%
Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	15%
Will Braden Rumfelt win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	12%
Will Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	11%
Will Keyla Richardson win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	6%
Will Lucas Leon win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	2%
Will Kyndal Inskeep win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Tianna Roberts win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Sheldon Riley win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Ruby Rae win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Rae win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Philmon Lee win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Michael Garner win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Makiyah win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Madison Moon win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Kutter Bradley win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Kiera Howell win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Julian Kalel win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jesse Findling win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jake Thistle win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jacquie Lee win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Genevieve Heyward win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Daniel Stallworth win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Chris Tungseth win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Chloe Lauren win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Bryant Thomas win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Brianna Yancey win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Brenna Brigman win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Bella Emry win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%
Will Abayomi win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?	Kalshi	1%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will win American Idol?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)

If X is officially declared the winner of American Idol Season 24, ABC Season 9, then the market resolves to Yes. This contract refers to American Idol Season 24 overall, which is Season 9 of the ABC revival. The season premiered in 2026 and airs on ABC. For the avoidance of doubt, Season 24 reflects the total number of seasons since the series originally debuted in 2002, including Seasons 1–15 on Fox Broadcasting Company and Seasons 16–24 on ABC. The winn

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tianna Roberts is officially declared the winner of American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This contract refers to American Idol Season 24 overall, which is Season 9 of the ABC revival. The season premiered in 2026 and airs on ABC.
For the avoida"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Tianna Roberts win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sheldon Riley win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ruby Rae win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Rae win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Philmon Lee win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Michael Garner win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Makiyah win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Madison Moon win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Lucas Leon win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Kyndal Inskeep win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Kutter Bradley win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Kiera Howell win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Keyla Richardson win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Julian Kalel win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Jesse Findling win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Jake Thistle win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Jacquie Lee win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Genevieve Heyward win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Daniel Stallworth win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Chris Tungseth win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Chloe Lauren win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Bryant Thomas win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Brianna Yancey win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Brenna Brigman win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Braden Rumfelt win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Bella Emry win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Abayomi win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Average Yes Price

4¢

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Who will win American Idol?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will win American Idol?

Markets (30)

Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Braden Rumfelt win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Braden Rumfelt win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Keyla Richardson win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Keyla Richardson win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will win American Idol?

Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Braden Rumfelt win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Braden Rumfelt win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Keyla Richardson win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Will Keyla Richardson win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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