BNB Up or Down - August 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
PM $183.36
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1
BNB Up or Down - August 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
PM $183.36
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $183.36
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BNB/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is a single Polymarket event titled "BNB Up or Down - August 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's BNB/USD data stream, and the rules state that the market is about the price "according to Chainlink data stream BNB/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets" [1]. The provider lists an end time of 2026-08-05T15:05:00.000Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation shows Up at 0.9995 and Down at 0.0005 [1]. These are provider snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The sample is complete for this event: one market was saved and included, and it is not flagged as a partial sample [1]. Because the event has only these two binary outcomes in the saved record, there is no omitted outcome to compare and no cross-platform ranking to make.
The evidence contains no trading volume, liquidity figure, or trader count, so none of these can be inferred from the prices. The observation was recorded at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T18:15:25.512Z [1]. The listed end time is earlier than both dates, so this record describes a contract whose listed close has already passed. The provider still reported the status as active at observation [1]. This snapshot therefore should not be read as a description of a live market today.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include a resolved outcome, a final settlement, or the Chainlink values at the start and end of the window, so the result cannot be confirmed from this record. It also does not explain why the prices stood where they did. A price near 1 for Up reflects only the quote at the observation time and does not indicate the eventual result. Readers who need the current status or the resolution should check the provider page directly, since this saved record cannot supply either.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - August 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket contract titled "BNB Up or Down - August 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET" in the crypto category [1]. The contract asks whether the price of BNB will be up or down over a five-minute window. According to the provider's rules, it resolves to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and otherwise resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD data stream [1]. The provider states that the market concerns the price shown in that Chainlink data stream, not prices from other sources or spot markets [1]. This matters because a BNB price on a different exchange or data feed could differ from the figure used for settlement, so a reader should check the named stream when interpreting the contract. The contract's listed end time is 2026-08-05T15:05:00Z [1]. That is the time the provider specifies for the window to close. It is distinct from when the contract was observed or when a result was recorded. The provider listed the contract as active when the record was captured on 2026-10-15 [1]. That observation describes the provider's status at that moment and does not establish whether the contract is open or resolved today. The saved snapshot shows two outcomes. "Up" was priced at 0.9995 and "Down" at 0.0005 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider record. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The sample includes the single saved market for this event, so the two outcomes shown are the full set recorded for this contract.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of BNB's price over a short window. Under the stated rules, the question is whether the price at the end of the 11:00 to 11:05 AM ET range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning [1]. Because the outcome depends on a specific named data stream, the result is tied to that feed rather than to a general market average [1]. The snapshot prices in the record show how the provider priced each outcome at the time of capture, but a price is not the same as a confirmed probability and does not indicate a final result [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How does this contract decide whether it resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to Up if the BNB price at the end of the time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1].
Which price feed is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the Chainlink BNB/USD data stream. The provider states that prices from other sources or spot markets are not used for this contract [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-08-05T15:05:00Z [1]. The provider record was observed on 2026-10-15, when its status was recorded as active [1]. That observation does not show the contract's status today, and the supplied evidence does not include a final resolution result.
Do the prices show the chance that BNB will rise?
The record shows snapshot prices of 0.9995 for Up and 0.0005 for Down [1]. These are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should not be read as a confirmed chance of either outcome [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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