ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

Name: ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?
End: 2026-02-28T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.86K

Events

Markets

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ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

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Polymarket

markets · $3.86K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.86K

100%

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1 market tracked

ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$3.86K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 28, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. I"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.31)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 28, 2026): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

3¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ttm9Mq" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?"></iframe>

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ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

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ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)