Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of October?

Name: Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of October?
End: 2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$444.75

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of October?

Vol

$444.75

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $444.75

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $444.75

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of October?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of October?	Poly	94%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of October?	Poly	92%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $190 end of October?	Poly	91%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of October?	Poly	90%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 end of October?	Poly	88%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of October?	Poly	81%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 end of October?	Poly	73%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 end of October?	Poly	53%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of October?	Poly	38%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $280 end of October?	Poly	24%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $290 end of October?	Poly	17%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $300 end of October?	Poly	10%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $310 end of October?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$444.75

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of October 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 5

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of October?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 30, 2026 (19 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of October 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".

Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 5

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of October 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".

Closing prices wi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $445
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $190 end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.6% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $280 end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $290 end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $300 end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 10.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $310 end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $410
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance