Will Decibel launch a token by ___?
PM $33.9K
1
2
Will Decibel launch a token by ___?
PM $33.9K
1
2
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31, 2027 at 66%.
Polymarket
- December 31, 202766%
- December 31, 202632%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $33.9K
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Decibel officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Decibel will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event asks whether Decibel will launch a token by a date in the title. The resolution rule states that the market "will resolve to "Yes" if Decibel officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title" [1]. The source also says that "Only an official token launched by Decibel will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count." It adds that "The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify." [1]
The two saved markets use the same wording but different deadlines: December 31, 2026, and December 31, 2027. Because the title sets the deadline, a reader should compare the contract title and listed close time before comparing prices.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the following prices at 2026-10-15T16:13:13Z, and the source was retrieved at 20:54:59Z the same day [1].
- Launch by December 31, 2027: Yes 0.525, No 0.475. Listed end date 2028-01-01T04:59:00Z.
- Launch by December 31, 2026: Yes 0.38, No 0.62. Listed end date 2027-01-01T04:59:00Z.
Both listed end times fall at 23:59 ET on the title date, which matches the rule text. The event-level listed end time is 2028-01-01T05:00:00Z, one minute later than the 2027 market's end date [1]. The 2026 contract's price is lower than the 2027 contract's price, which is consistent with a later deadline offering more time, but this snapshot alone does not show the reason for any price difference.
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The volume of trading is not reported here, so this snapshot does not indicate liquidity. The two contracts have different deadlines, so their prices should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity.
What remains uncertain
The coverage shows all two saved markets for this event, with no partial sample flagged [1]. That does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome. The evidence does not include any recent reporting on Decibel, any announcements about a token, or any statement from the company. The evidence also does not show how prices have changed over time, so this snapshot should not be read as the current state of the market.
References
- Polymarket: Will Decibel launch a token by ___?. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract asks whether Decibel will officially launch a token by a deadline date. The contract's rules say it resolves "Yes" if Decibel officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title, and "No" otherwise [1]. The contract is part of a Polymarket event titled "Will Decibel launch a token by ___?", and the saved event contains two date-specific markets: one with a deadline of December 31, 2026 and one with a deadline of December 31, 2027 [1]. Each market is a separate yes-or-no question about the same underlying event, so the two can be read as asking about different time windows. The rules set a narrow standard. Only an official token launched by Decibel qualifies. Stablecoins, memecoins, liquid staking tokens and synthetic tokens do not count [1]. The token must also be actively and publicly tradable, and announcements alone do not qualify [1]. A company stating that it plans a token, or publishing a roadmap that mentions one, would therefore not by itself resolve the contract to "Yes" under these rules. The primary resolution source is information from Decibel itself, identified in the rules as its official X account [1]. The rules also state that a consensus of credible reporting will be used [1]. The listed end time for the event is 2028-01-01T05:00:00Z, which corresponds to the close of the contract window rather than to any announced launch date [1]. Nothing in the supplied material establishes that Decibel has scheduled a token launch, and the contract should not be read as a forecast of any particular launch date. The contract measures a single binary event: whether an official, tradable Decibel token exists by the stated date. Its market price reflects participants' views on that question at the time of the snapshot. Price is not a verified probability, and a snapshot is not an executable quote. Trading volume reflects activity in the market, not liquidity or the number of participants.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether Decibel officially launches a token, defined narrowly by the resolution rules [1]. The definition excludes several categories of tokens and requires that the token be actively and publicly tradable, so the question is more specific than whether a company has discussed or announced a token [1]. Because the rules name Decibel's own official channel as the primary source and allow credible reporting as a secondary basis, the outcome depends on what that source and reporting establish by the deadline [1]. Readers should therefore treat the two date-specific markets as questions about the same event with different cutoffs, not as independent forecasts.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as a launch under this contract?
The token must be an official token launched by Decibel, and it must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify [1].
Which tokens are excluded?
Stablecoins, memecoins, liquid staking tokens and synthetic tokens do not count under the rules [1].
What is the deadline?
The rules resolve to "Yes" if a launch occurs by 11:59 PM ET on the date in the title. The saved event includes markets with titles dated December 31, 2026 and December 31, 2027 [1].
How will the outcome be determined?
The primary resolution source is information from Decibel's official X account. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
