Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 12?

Name: What price will Bitcoin hit on October 12?
End: 2026-10-13T04:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$300.74K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 12?

Vol

$300.74K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $300.74K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $300.74K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?	Poly	19%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 12?	Poly	3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12?	Poly	1%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?	Poly	0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 12?	Poly	0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 12?	Poly	0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 12?	Poly	0%
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 12?	Poly	0%
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12?	Poly	0%
Will Bitcoin reach $91,000 on October 12?	Poly	0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on October 12?	Poly	0%
Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on October 12?	Poly	0%
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 12?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

19%

Top Probability

$300.74K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 12?

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What price will Bitcoin hit on October 12?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 13, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** What price will Bitcoin hit on October 12?

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $196.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $317.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.62)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Bitcoin reach $91,000 on October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $6.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $7.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $16.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $37.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $57.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.7% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $55.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $6.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETCrypto

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 12?

Volume$300.74K

Markets13

13 of 13

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POLYMARKET

Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 19.3¢No 80.7¢

POLYMARKETCrypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." T

POLYMARKET

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 12?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 2.9¢No 97.2¢

POLYMARKETCrypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 12?

POLYMARKET

Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢

POLYMARKETCrypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12?

POLYMARKET

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢

POLYMARKETCrypto

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

POLYMARKET

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 12?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢

POLYMARKETCrypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 12?

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Calculating time remaining…

Oct 13, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

2¢

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What price will Bitcoin hit on October 12?

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 12?

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Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 12?

Markets (13)

Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 12?

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Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 12?

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