Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LaLiga: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Name: LaLiga: Teams relegated (2026-27)
End: 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$14.16K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LaLiga: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Vol

$14.16K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $14.16K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.16K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	64%
Will Real Betis be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	48%
Will Elche be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	43%
Will Levante be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	38%
Will Valencia be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	33%
Will Osasuna be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	31%
Will Celta Vigo be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	27%
Will Racing Santander be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	27%
Will Getafe be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	23%
Will Sevilla be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	20%
Will Athletic Bilbao be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	19%
Will Deportivo La Coruña be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	18%
Will Alavés be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	14%
Will Espanyol be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	8%
Will Rayo Vallecano be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	4%
Will Real Sociedad be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	4%
Will Villarreal be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	3%
Will Real Madrid be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	3%
Will Barcelona be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	2%
Will Atlético Madrid be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

64%

Top Probability

$14.16K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from LaLiga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 LaLiga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in LaLiga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 LaLiga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by LaLiga. If the 2026-27 LaLiga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, o

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LaLiga: Teams relegated (2026-27)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 1, 2027 (263 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from LaLiga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 LaLiga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in LaLiga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 LaLiga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by LaLiga.

If the 2026-27 LaLiga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, o

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from LaLiga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 LaLiga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in LaLiga for the following season through their final standing in the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $10.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.33)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alavés be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Athletic Bilbao be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Atlético Madrid be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $845
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Barcelona be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $119
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Celta Vigo be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Deportivo La Coruña be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $408
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Elche be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $879
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Espanyol be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $209
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Getafe be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $291
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Levante be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $71
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Osasuna be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Racing Santander be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $914
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Rayo Vallecano be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $282
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Real Betis be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 47.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.3% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Real Madrid be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $146
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Real Sociedad be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Sevilla be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $108
  DATA: [Yes: 20.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.8% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Valencia be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Villarreal be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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