Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Spread

Total Volume

$23.68K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Spread

Vol

$23.68K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $23.68K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $23.68K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	25%
Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	15%
Vallecano wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	14%
Bilbao wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

25%

Top Probability

$23.68K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

RVC vs ATH (Oct 10) If Vallecano wins by more than X goals in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will clos

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Vallecano vs Bilbao: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** RVC vs ATH (Oct 10)

If Vallecano wins by more than X goals in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will clos

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Vallecano wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, assoc"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $23.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Vallecano wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Bilbao wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $12.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Spread

Volume$23.68K

Markets4

4 of 4

Sort:

KALSHI

Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢

KALSHISports

Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associat

KALSHI

Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHISports

Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, assoc

KALSHI

Vallecano wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

KALSHISports

Vallecano wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Vallecano wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, assoc

KALSHI

Bilbao wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

KALSHISports

Bilbao wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Bilbao wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associat

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

17¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/uDu1j1" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Vallecano vs Bilbao: Spread"></iframe>

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: Spread

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Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Spread

Markets (4)

Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vallecano wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Vallecano wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Bilbao wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Bilbao wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Spread

Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vallecano wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Vallecano wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Bilbao wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Bilbao wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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