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Events
GroupKALSHI

#2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026?

#2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026?
Vol

K 0 contracts

|
Events

1

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Markets

25

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 11, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS at 48.5%.

Kalshi

  1. DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS48.5%
  2. BREAK EVEN30%
  3. BETTER OVER TIME30%
  4. Number Ones30%
  5. Visitor30%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

25

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Nov 21, 2026 If X is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-11-09T03:00:06.118Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The Kalshi event asks whether a named album will be #2 on the Billboard 200 for the week of November 21, 2026. The event rules state that "If X is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Each listed market applies this rule to one album, so each contract is a separate yes or no question about a different title.

The source also says that "If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET" [1]. The listed end date for each included market is 2026-12-05T15:00:00.000Z, but the source does not explain how that timestamp relates to the 10am ET close language. The event's listed end time is recorded as "not supplied" [1]. Any reader comparing closing times should rely on the contract rules and the listed market fields, not on this snapshot alone.

The source also notes that the market has not been endorsed by Billboard and that references to Billboard marks are descriptive only [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-11-09T03:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-09T04:39:16Z [1]. These times describe this snapshot only. They do not show the current price or status at the time you read this.

In the snapshot, every included market shows a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5 [1]. These are prices as recorded at observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any album reaching #2.

Because all included prices are equal, the snapshot does not separate the albums by price. The selection method ranks markets by price and then volume, but the saved data does not report volume values, so this snapshot cannot show how the ordering was resolved [1]. Do not read the order of the listed markets as a ranking.

What remains uncertain

The sample is partial. The provider event contains 15 markets, and 12 are included in this snapshot [1]. The three omitted markets are not described in the evidence, so their prices, rules, and status are unknown. Do not treat the 12 included markets as the complete field, and do not infer that omitted markets are priced lower or higher.

The evidence also does not explain why prices are equal, how many traders hold each position, or what chart outcome is likely. Volume is not a measure of liquidity or trader count, and the source does not supply enough detail to assess either.

References

  1. Kalshi: #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026?. Provider data observed 2026-11-09T03:00:06.118Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Nov 9, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "#2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026?" The contract's rule is that if a named album is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of November 21, 2026, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The event is categorized under Entertainment, and the provider lists its status as active, with no end time supplied [1]. The provider states that the market and its products have not been endorsed by Billboard, and that references to Billboard, the Hot 100, or other associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi [1]. The rules also say that if the event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET [1]. The chart week is the event being tracked. The rules do not announce a separate event date, and the closing time described is tied to that chart outcome. The saved event contains 15 separate Kalshi markets, each asking whether a different named album will be #2 on the Billboard 200 for that week. Twelve of those markets are included in this snapshot, so the sample is partial. The included markets cover titles such as Thriller, The Life of a Showgirl, The Black Parade, The Art of Loving, SOS, ICEMAN, and others. Each included market shows a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5 in the saved snapshot. Those prices come from the provider observation at 03:00 UTC on November 9, 2026, and they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Because the sample is partial, nothing can be inferred about how the omitted markets are priced, and the listed markets should not be read as the complete field of possible #2 albums. The contract measures a single chart position in a single week. It does not measure album sales, streaming totals, or the popularity of an artist in general. Each market asks about one album, so a Yes outcome in one market is a separate question from the others in the same event.

Why It Matters

The contract measures whether a specific album holds the #2 position on the Billboard 200 for the week of November 21, 2026 [1]. Its rules tie resolution to that chart outcome and to a closing time the following 10am ET if the event occurs [1]. Traders and readers can use the contract's wording to see exactly what is being tracked, which is a chart rank in one week rather than a broader measure of an artist's performance. The provider's disclaimer that Billboard has not endorsed the product is part of the rules [1]. The saved prices reflect a snapshot and should not be treated as a forecast of which album will rank second.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-09 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What must happen for the contract to resolve to Yes?

The rules state that if the named album is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of November 21, 2026, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Each market in the event names a different album, so the condition applies to that album alone [1].

When does the market close?

The provider's rules say that if the event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET [1]. The provider also lists no end time for the event [1]. The saved market records show an end date of December 5, 2026, but that field is not described as an announced event date [1].

Is this contract endorsed by Billboard?

No endorsement is stated. The rules say the market and its products have not been endorsed by Billboard, and that references to Billboard and related marks are descriptive only [1].

Why do the included markets show prices of 0.5?

Each included market in the saved snapshot shows a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5 at the provider observation time of 03:00 UTC on November 9, 2026 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they do not show how the market will settle.

Was this helpful?
Saved Nov 9, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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