Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?

Total Volume

$59.61K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?

Vol

$59.61K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $59.61K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $59.61K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?	Kalshi	53%
Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?	Kalshi	52%
Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?	Kalshi	42%
Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?	Kalshi	14%
Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$59.61K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2028 President of the United States race If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before X 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2028 President of the United States race

If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before X 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The a

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Feb 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce their campaign for i"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $59.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $21.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $21.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $13.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?

Volume$59.61K

Markets5

5 of 5

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?

If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce their campaign for i

KALSHI

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?

If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce their campaign for i

KALSHI

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.5¢No 58.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?

If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce their campaign for i

KALSHI

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?

If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Feb 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce their campaign for i

KALSHI

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?

If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce their campaign for i

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34¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/uGIDhe" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?"></iframe>

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When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?

When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?

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Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?

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Events (1)

When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?

Markets (5)

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?

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Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?

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