Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This market covers a single event, "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET" [1]. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].

The title's time window is given in Eastern Time, while the listed end time is recorded in UTC as 2026-10-26T22:30:00.000Z [1]. Readers should convert between these formats themselves. The contract is listed as active, and the saved evidence does not show a resolved outcome.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed this market at 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z, and our retrieval occurred later at 2026-10-26T01:07:35.098Z [1]. The saved prices are therefore a record of that earlier observation, not a live quote. In the snapshot, "Up" is priced at 0.5 and "Down" is priced at 0.5 [1]. These are provider snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities.

The sample covers one saved market from this provider event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because only one contract is listed, there is no comparison across platforms or other contracts here, and no conclusion about relative value can be drawn from this snapshot.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why the prices are at 0.5, and it does not show trading activity, trader counts, or changes over time. Volume data is not included, so no liquidity assessment is possible.

The sampleWarning states that the saved markets do not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. For this contract, the rules define the two outcomes, but the evidence does not show the final TWAP values, the starting price, or how the contract settled.

References

1. Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z.