Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Name: Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren
End: 2026-10-20T09:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$52.33

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Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Vol

$52.33

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $52.33

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $52.33

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Nardi vs. Holmgren: Match Over/Under 21.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Nardi vs. Holmgren: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	59%
Nardi vs. Holmgren: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	56%
Olbia: Completed Match: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren	Poly	50%
Set 2 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren	Poly	50%
Nardi vs. Holmgren: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	50%
Nardi vs. Holmgren: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Nardi vs. Holmgren: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Nardi vs. Holmgren: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	48%
Nardi vs. Holmgren: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	48%
Nardi vs. Holmgren: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	48%
Set 1 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren	Poly	47%
Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren	Poly	45%
Game Spread: August Holmgren (-2.5) vs Luca Nardi (+2.5)	Poly	45%
Nardi vs. Holmgren: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	44%
Luca Nardi vs. August Holmgren: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	40%
Set Handicap: August Holmgren (-1.5) vs Luca Nardi (+1.5)	Poly	33%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

59%

Top Probability

$52.33

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and August Holmgren in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Nardi' if Luca Nardi advances against August Holmgren. This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Luca Nardi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start),

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 20, 2026 (9 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and August Holmgren in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luca Nardi' if Luca Nardi advances against August Holmgren.

This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Luca Nardi.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start),

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and August Holmgren in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luca Nardi' if Luca Nardi advances against August Holmgren.

This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmg"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $52
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $52
  DATA: [Luca Nardi: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [August Holmgren: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Olbia: Completed Match: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Luca Nardi: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [August Holmgren: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Luca Nardi: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [August Holmgren: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Luca Nardi vs. August Holmgren: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Nardi vs. Holmgren: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Nardi vs. Holmgren: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Nardi vs. Holmgren: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Nardi vs. Holmgren: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Nardi vs. Holmgren: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Nardi vs. Holmgren: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Nardi vs. Holmgren: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Nardi vs. Holmgren: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Nardi vs. Holmgren: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: August Holmgren (-1.5) vs Luca Nardi (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [August Holmgren: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [Luca Nardi: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: August Holmgren (-2.5) vs Luca Nardi (+2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [August Holmgren: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [Luca Nardi: 55.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Volume$52.33

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Olbia: Completed Match: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Olbia: Completed Match: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and August Holmgren in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to

POLYMARKET

Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Set 1 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and August Holmgren in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Luca Nardi” if Luca Nardi wins the first set. It will resolve to “August Holmgren” if August Holmgren wins the first set. I

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Set 2 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and August Holmgren in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Luca Nardi” if Luca Nardi wins set 2. It will resolve to “August Holmgren” if August Holmgren wins set 2. If the match begi

POLYMARKET

Luca Nardi vs. August Holmgren: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Luca Nardi vs. August Holmgren: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and August Holmgren in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" otherwis

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Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

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47¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/uNfdvr" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren"></iframe>

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Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

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Nardi vs. Holmgren: Match Over/Under 21.5

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Markets (16)

Olbia: Completed Match: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Olbia: Completed Match: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Set 1 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Set 1 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Set 2 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Set 2 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Luca Nardi vs. August Holmgren: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Luca Nardi vs. August Holmgren: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Nardi vs. Holmgren: Match Over/Under 21.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Olbia: Completed Match: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Olbia: Completed Match: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Set 1 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Set 1 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Set 2 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Set 2 Winner: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Luca Nardi vs. August Holmgren: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Luca Nardi vs. August Holmgren: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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