Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Sparta Prague vs Lillestroem: Spread

Total Volume

$589.92

Events

Markets

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Sparta Prague vs Lillestroem: Spread

Vol

$589.92

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $589.92

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $589.92

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Sparta Prague wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Sparta Prague wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	48%
Sparta Prague wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	28%
Lillestroem wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	13%
Lillestroem wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$589.92

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

SPA vs LSK (Oct 15) If Sparta Prague wins by more than X goals in the Sparta Prague vs Lillestroem professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Th

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Sparta Prague vs Lillestroem: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** SPA vs LSK (Oct 15)

If Sparta Prague wins by more than X goals in the Sparta Prague vs Lillestroem professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Th

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Sparta Prague wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Sparta Prague vs Lillestroem professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is no"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $590
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Sparta Prague wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Sparta Prague wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $77
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Lillestroem wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $513
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Lillestroem wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Sparta Prague vs Lillestroem: Spread

Volume$589.92

Markets4

4 of 4

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KALSHI

Sparta Prague wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Sparta Prague wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Sparta Prague wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Sparta Prague vs Lillestroem professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is no

KALSHI

Sparta Prague wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Sparta Prague wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Sparta Prague wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Sparta Prague vs Lillestroem professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is no

KALSHI

Lillestroem wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Lillestroem wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Lillestroem wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Sparta Prague vs Lillestroem professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

KALSHI

Lillestroem wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Lillestroem wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Lillestroem wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Sparta Prague vs Lillestroem professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

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Average Yes Price

24¢

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Sparta Prague wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Sparta Prague vs Lillestroem: Spread

Markets (4)

Sparta Prague wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Sparta Prague wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Sparta Prague wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Sparta Prague wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Lillestroem wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Lillestroem wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Lillestroem wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Lillestroem wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Sparta Prague wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Sparta Prague vs Lillestroem: Spread

Sparta Prague wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Sparta Prague wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Sparta Prague wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Sparta Prague wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Lillestroem wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Lillestroem wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Lillestroem wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Lillestroem wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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