Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Mayor of Ostrava

Name: Next Mayor of Ostrava
End: 2026-10-10T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$9.67K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Mayor of Ostrava

Vol

$9.67K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $9.67K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.67K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Jan Dohnal be the next Mayor of Ostrava?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jan Dohnal be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	Poly	43%
Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	Poly	40%
Will Matěj Gregor be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	Poly	2%
Will Aleš Boháč be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	Poly	1%
Will Ivana Lucáková Nesétová be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	Poly	1%
Will Ondřej Němeček be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	Poly	1%
Will Peter Harvánek be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	Poly	1%
Will Lukáš Semerák be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	Poly	0%
Will Rostislav Řeha be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

43%

Top Probability

$9.67K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Ostrava will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Ostrava following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the city council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election wi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Mayor of Ostrava
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 10, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Ostrava will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Ostrava following the 2026 Czech municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the city council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election wi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Ostrava will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $72.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jan Dohnal be the next Mayor of Ostrava?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Lukáš Semerák be the next Mayor of Ostrava?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $461
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Aleš Boháč be the next Mayor of Ostrava?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Matěj Gregor be the next Mayor of Ostrava?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $602
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Rostislav Řeha be the next Mayor of Ostrava?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $601
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ivana Lucáková Nesétová be the next Mayor of Ostrava?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $818
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ondřej Němeček be the next Mayor of Ostrava?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $384
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Peter Harvánek be the next Mayor of Ostrava?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $374
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics