Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Where will it rain on Oct 12, 2026?

Total Volume

$229.75K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Where will it rain on Oct 12, 2026?

Vol

$229.75K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $229.75K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $229.75K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

33 markets tracked

Will it rain in Providence on Oct 12, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(33)

Market	Platform	Price
Will it rain in Providence on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will it rain in Philadelphia on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will it rain in Boston on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will it rain in Washington DC on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	81%
Will it rain in Los Angeles on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	78%
Will it rain in Trenton on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	63%
Will it rain in Houston on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	57%
Will it rain in College Station on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	38%
Will it rain in Miami on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	34%
Will it rain in Las Vegas on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	34%
Will it rain in Austin on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	33%
Will it rain in Phoenix on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	28%
Will it rain in New York City on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	28%
Will it rain in Minneapolis on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	25%
Will it rain in Newark on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	22%
Will it rain in San Antonio on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	22%
Will it rain in Milwaukee on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	13%
Will it rain in Albuquerque on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will it rain in Pittsburgh on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will it rain in Chicago on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will it rain in Tampa on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will it rain in Indianapolis on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will it rain in Dallas on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will it rain in Columbus on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will it rain in New Orleans on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will it rain in Lexington on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will it rain in Denver on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will it rain in St. Louis on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will it rain in Springfield on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will it rain in San Francisco on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will it rain in Seattle on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will it rain in Oklahoma City on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will it rain in Atlanta on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$229.75K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 12, 2026 If the total precipitation X 12, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data X can be found at https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts, T, and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches. This mar

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Where will it rain on Oct 12, 2026?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 12, 2026

If the total precipitation X 12, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data X can be found at https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts, T, and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches. This mar

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the total precipitation at CLITTN in Trenton in Oct 12, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $229.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will it rain in Trenton on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $14.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will it rain in Tampa on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will it rain in St. Louis on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will it rain in Springfield on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will it rain in San Francisco on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will it rain in Seattle on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will it rain in San Antonio on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will it rain in Providence on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $21.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will it rain in Pittsburgh on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will it rain in Phoenix on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $10.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will it rain in Philadelphia on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $13.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will it rain in Oklahoma City on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $6.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will it rain in New York City on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $18.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will it rain in New Orleans on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will it rain in Milwaukee on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will it rain in Minneapolis on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $7.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will it rain in Miami on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will it rain in Las Vegas on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $9.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will it rain in Lexington on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will it rain in Los Angeles on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will it rain in Indianapolis on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will it rain in Houston on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will it rain in Newark on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $12.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will it rain in Denver on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $12.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will it rain in Washington DC on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $7.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will it rain in Dallas on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will it rain in Columbus on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will it rain in College Station on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will it rain in Chicago on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will it rain in Boston on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $11.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will it rain in Austin on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will it rain in Atlanta on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $7.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will it rain in Albuquerque on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Where will it rain on Oct 12, 2026?

Volume$229.75K

Markets33

33 of 33

Sort:

KALSHI

Will it rain in Providence on Oct 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHITech

CLOSING SOON

Will it rain in Providence on Oct 12, 2026?

If the total precipitation at CLIPVD in Providence in Oct 12, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final va

KALSHI

Will it rain in Philadelphia on Oct 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHITech

CLOSING SOON

Will it rain in Philadelphia on Oct 12, 2026?

If the total precipitation at CLIPHL in Philadelphia in Oct 12, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final

KALSHI

Will it rain in Boston on Oct 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHITech

CLOSING SOON

Will it rain in Boston on Oct 12, 2026?

If the total precipitation at CLIBOS in Boston in Oct 12, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value

KALSHI

Will it rain in Washington DC on Oct 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.5¢No 19.5¢

KALSHITech

CLOSING SOON

Will it rain in Washington DC on Oct 12, 2026?

If the total precipitation at CLIDCA in Washington DC in Oct 12, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final

KALSHI

Will it rain in Los Angeles on Oct 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 78.0¢No 22.0¢

KALSHITech

CLOSING SOON

Will it rain in Los Angeles on Oct 12, 2026?

If the total precipitation at CLILAX in Los Angeles in Oct 12, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final v

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27¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/uTgmaE" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Where will it rain on Oct 12, 2026?"></iframe>

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Where will it rain on Oct 12, 2026?

Where will it rain on Oct 12, 2026?

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Will it rain in Providence on Oct 12, 2026?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Where will it rain on Oct 12, 2026?

Markets (33)

Will it rain in Providence on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Providence on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Philadelphia on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Philadelphia on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Boston on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Boston on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Washington DC on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Washington DC on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Los Angeles on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Los Angeles on Oct 12, 2026?

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Will it rain in Providence on Oct 12, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Where will it rain on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Providence on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Providence on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Philadelphia on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Philadelphia on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Boston on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Boston on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Washington DC on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Washington DC on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Los Angeles on Oct 12, 2026?

Will it rain in Los Angeles on Oct 12, 2026?

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