GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 9, 2026?

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 9, 2026?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

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6 markets tracked

Will the minimum temperature be 81-82° on Jul 9, 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the minimum temperature be 81-82° on Jul 9, 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will the minimum temperature be 79-80° on Jul 9, 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will the minimum temperature be >84° on Jul 9, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will the minimum temperature be <77° on Jul 9, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will the minimum temperature be 83-84° on Jul 9, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will the minimum temperature be 77-78° on Jul 9, 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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96%

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About This Event

On Jul 9, 2026 If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 9, 2026, is X than Y fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report, Daily, then the market resolves to Yes. Data for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Miami, FL" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 9, 2026?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Jul 9, 2026

If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 9, 2026, is X than Y fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report, Daily, then the market resolves to Yes. Data for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Miami, FL" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 9, 2026, is greater than 84° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Data for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.go"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the minimum temperature be >84° on Jul 9, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the minimum temperature be <77° on Jul 9, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the minimum temperature be 83-84° on Jul 9, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the minimum temperature be 81-82° on Jul 9, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the minimum temperature be 79-80° on Jul 9, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the minimum temperature be 77-78° on Jul 9, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 9, 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets6

6 of 6

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KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be 81-82° on Jul 9, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be 81-82° on Jul 9, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 9, 2026, is between 81-82° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Data for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be 79-80° on Jul 9, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be 79-80° on Jul 9, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 9, 2026, is between 79-80° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Data for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be >84° on Jul 9, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be >84° on Jul 9, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 9, 2026, is greater than 84° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Data for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.go

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be <77° on Jul 9, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be <77° on Jul 9, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 9, 2026, is less than 77° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Data for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/w

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be 83-84° on Jul 9, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be 83-84° on Jul 9, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 9, 2026, is between 83-84° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Data for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/uTqpga" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 9, 2026?"></iframe>

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Will the minimum temperature be 81-82° on Jul 9, 2026?

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Events (1)

Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 9, 2026?

Markets (6)

Will the minimum temperature be 81-82° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 81-82° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 79-80° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 79-80° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be >84° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be >84° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be <77° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be <77° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 83-84° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 83-84° on Jul 9, 2026?

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Will the minimum temperature be 81-82° on Jul 9, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 81-82° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 81-82° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 79-80° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 79-80° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be >84° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be >84° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be <77° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be <77° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 83-84° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 83-84° on Jul 9, 2026?

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