Name: What price will Lighter hit in January?
End: 2026-02-01T05:00:00.000Z

PredictPedia

Markets Wiki

What price will Lighter hit in January? | PredictPedia

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Lighter dip to $1.50 in January?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Lighter dip to $1.50 in January?	Poly	25%
Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January?	Poly	9%
Will Lighter reach $4.00 in January?	Poly	4%
Will Lighter reach $4.50 in January?	Poly	3%
Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January?	Poly	3%
Will Lighter reach $5.00 in January?	Poly	1%
Will Lighter reach $5.50 in January?	Poly	1%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What price will Lighter hit in January?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 1, 2026 (16 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** What price will Lighter hit in January?

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $29.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $15.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.88)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Lighter reach $5.50 in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $6.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Lighter reach $4.50 in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Lighter dip to $1.50 in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.4% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Lighter reach $5.00 in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Lighter reach $4.00 in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Next Market Closes

15d 17h remaining

Feb 01, 2026 5:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

6¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/uVXflO" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="What price will Lighter hit in January?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

What price will Lighter hit in January?

What price will Lighter hit in January?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Lighter dip to $1.50 in January?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

What price will Lighter hit in January?

Markets (7)

Will Lighter dip to $1.50 in January?

Will Lighter dip to $1.50 in January?

Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January?

Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January?

Will Lighter reach $4.00 in January?

Will Lighter reach $4.00 in January?

Will Lighter reach $4.50 in January?

Will Lighter reach $4.50 in January?

Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January?

Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Community Discussion

Next Market Closes

Market Insights

Social Sentiment

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Lighter dip to $1.50 in January?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What price will Lighter hit in January?

Will Lighter dip to $1.50 in January?

Will Lighter dip to $1.50 in January?

Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January?

Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January?

Will Lighter reach $4.00 in January?

Will Lighter reach $4.00 in January?

Will Lighter reach $4.50 in January?

Will Lighter reach $4.50 in January?

Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January?

Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January?

Related News & Context

Next Market Closes

Share

Embed Widget