Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Screenplay

Total Volume

$2.86K

Events

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Golden Globe Nominations: Best Screenplay

Vol

$2.86K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.86K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.86K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	89%
Will The Debut be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	88%
Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	86%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	85%
Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	71%
Will All of a Sudden be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	32%
Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	24%
Will Elsinore be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	20%
Will Possible Love be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	15%
Will Fjord be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	15%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

89%

Top Probability

$2.86K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

84th Golden Globe Nominations: Best Screenplay If X is on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 84th Golden Globe Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market and t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Golden Globe Nominations: Best Screenplay
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 84th Golden Globe Nominations: Best Screenplay

If X is on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 84th Golden Globe Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market and t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Wild Horse Nine is on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $118
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Possible Love be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $205
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Fjord be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Elsinore be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will The Debut be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $640
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will All of a Sudden be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Screenplay

Volume$2.86K

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KALSHI

Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.5¢No 11.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Wild Horse Nine is on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized,

KALSHI

Will The Debut be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.0¢No 12.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will The Debut be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If The Debut is on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endors

KALSHI

Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If The Invite is on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endor

KALSHI

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If La Bola Negra is on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, en

KALSHI

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If The Odyssey is on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endo

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52¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/uauaO9" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Golden Globe Nominations: Best Screenplay"></iframe>

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Golden Globe Nominations: Best Screenplay

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Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Screenplay

Markets (10)

Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Debut be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Debut be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Screenplay

Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Debut be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Debut be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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