$5.77K
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$5.77K
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Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
More markets for the Scottish Cup game, scheduled for January 24 at 10:00 AM ET.
For this Scottish Cup match, the most active prediction market is focused on the total goals scored. Traders collectively see this as essentially a coin flip, giving about a 53% chance that the game will see over 1.5 goals. This means the crowd's intelligence leans slightly toward expecting two or more goals from the combined teams, but with very low confidence. Only about $6,000 has been wagered across all questions on this match, indicating it's a niche market with limited activity.
The slight lean toward a higher-scoring game likely comes from the teams' recent form and the nature of the tournament. Dundee United plays in the Scottish Championship, a tier below St Mirren's Scottish Premiership. Cup matches can be unpredictable, and the lower-division team might play more openly at home, potentially creating more chances. St Mirren, however, has had a mixed season and their games don't consistently feature high scoring. The very narrow odds reflect that there isn't a strong statistical signal for a clear outcome, making it a genuinely difficult match to call.
The key event is the match itself, kicking off at 10:00 AM ET on January 24. Any last-minute team news, like a key striker being injured or returning from suspension, could shift expectations right up until the start. The outcome and the final score will be known shortly after the final whistle, settling all the active predictions.
Prediction markets are generally reliable for major sporting events with high trading volume, as they aggregate many informed opinions. For a lower-profile match like this with minimal money wagered, the signal is much weaker. The odds are essentially an educated guess from a small group. While the crowd's wisdom often beats individual experts, the low stakes and interest here mean the forecast should be taken as a mild indicator, not a strong one.
Prediction markets assign a 53% probability to the Dundee United vs. St Mirren match exceeding 1.5 total goals. This price indicates a slight market expectation for a low-scoring game, with the outcome essentially viewed as a coin flip. The thin trading volume, just $6,000 across five related markets, means this probability is not strongly held and could be volatile. With the match scheduled for January 24 and resolution imminent, the window for significant price movement based on new information is closing.
The 53% price for Over 1.5 goals reflects competing historical trends. St Mirren’s recent Scottish Premiership form has been defensively solid, with three clean sheets in their last five league matches. This supports the under case. Conversely, this is a Scottish Cup fixture, which can produce different tactical approaches than league play. Dundee United, a strong Championship side, averages over two goals per game in their domestic league and will likely adopt an aggressive posture at home against top-flight opposition. The market is balancing St Mirren’s defensive reputation against the potential for an open cup tie and Dundee United’s potent attack.
The primary factor that could shift this tight probability is team news regarding starting lineups, released about one hour before kickoff. If either manager fields a heavily rotated side, particularly if St Mirren rests key defenders, the odds for Over 1.5 goals would likely rise. The market’s low liquidity makes it susceptible to sharp moves on even minor news. Weather conditions at Tannadice Park at kickoff could also be a last-minute catalyst; heavy wind or rain typically suppresses scoring and would push the price down.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic focuses on additional betting markets for the Scottish Cup fifth-round match between Dundee United FC and St Mirren FC. The match is scheduled for January 24, with a kickoff time of 10:00 AM Eastern Time (3:00 PM local time in Scotland). These 'more markets' refer to proposition bets beyond the standard match outcome (win/draw/lose), which could include wagers on the exact score, first goalscorer, total goals, halftime/fulltime results, or specific player performances. The Scottish Cup is Scotland's premier domestic knockout football competition, operated by the Scottish Football Association. This specific fixture is a single-elimination match, meaning the winner advances to the quarter-finals while the loser is eliminated from the tournament. Dundee United, from the Scottish Premiership, enters as the favorite against St Mirren, also a Premiership side, setting up a competitive all-top-flight clash. Interest in these markets stems from the unpredictable nature of cup football, where form can differ from league play, and from the historical rivalry between clubs from Scotland's central belt and east coast. Bettors and fans analyze team news, recent form, head-to-head records, and tactical setups to inform their predictions on these specialized markets.
Dundee United and St Mirren have a long competitive history dating back to their first meeting in 1925. In the Scottish Cup specifically, their most notable encounter was in the 1987 final. On May 16, 1987, Dundee United defeated St Mirren 1-0 at Hampden Park to lift the trophy, with a goal from Ian Ferguson. That remains the only time the two clubs have met in a cup final. More recently, their cup meetings have been rare. Their last Scottish Cup tie was a fourth-round replay in January 2010, which Dundee United won 2-0 after an initial 1-1 draw. In terms of overall historical record, Dundee United holds a clear advantage. From 1925 to the present, the two teams have played over 150 competitive matches, with Dundee United winning approximately 70 compared to St Mirren's 40, with around 40 draws. This historical dominance is a factor often considered in pre-match analysis, though cup matches are known for upsets. St Mirren's sole Scottish Cup victory came in 1959, while Dundee United has won the competition twice, in 1994 and 2010.
Beyond the immediate sporting contest, this match and the betting markets around it have economic implications for both clubs and the broader football economy. A run in the Scottish Cup generates significant revenue from ticket sales, broadcasting rights, and prize money. For the winning club, advancing to the quarter-finals brings increased financial rewards and potential for a lucrative later-round draw against a Celtic or Rangers. The prediction markets themselves represent a segment of the global sports betting industry, which influences sponsorship, advertising, and data analytics services. For fans and local communities in Dundee and Paisley, the result carries social weight. Cup success can boost local morale and civic pride, while elimination can deflate a season's ambitions. The match also matters for Scottish football's European qualification picture, as the Scottish Cup winner earns a place in the UEFA Europa League playoff round, adding a long-term competitive stakes to this knockout fixture.
As of mid-January 2024, both teams are preparing for this cup tie amidst their Scottish Premiership schedules. Dundee United sits mid-table, while St Mirren is competing for a top-six finish. The teams last met in the Premiership on December 23, 2023, playing to a 1-1 draw at the SMiSA Stadium. Team news regarding injuries will be closely monitored in the days before the match, as absences of key players like St Mirren's captain Mark O'Hara or Dundee United's goalkeeper Jack Walton could shift market odds. The match will be played at Dundee United's home ground, Tannadice Park, in front of a capacity crowd, with the winner advancing to the quarter-final draw scheduled for January 28.
The match kicks off at 10:00 AM Eastern Time (ET) on Wednesday, January 24, 2024. The local time in Scotland is 3:00 PM GMT.
In the United Kingdom, the match is being broadcast live on BBC Scotland. International viewers should check local sports broadcasters or streaming services that hold Scottish Cup rights in their region.
Historically, Dundee United has the better record. In all competitions, Dundee United has won approximately 70 matches, St Mirren has won around 40, and there have been roughly 40 draws.
Their most recent match was a Scottish Premiership fixture on December 23, 2023. It ended in a 1-1 draw at St Mirren's home ground.
Common markets include correct score, first goalscorer, total goals over/under, both teams to score, halftime/fulltime result, number of corners, and player-specific bets like a certain player to score or be carded.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
5 markets tracked
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| Market | Platform | Price |
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| Poly | 54% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 50% |
| Poly | 48% |
| Poly | 48% |
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