Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

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$4.15K

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Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

Vol

$4.15K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $4.15K

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.15K

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8 markets tracked

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?	Kalshi	97%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?	Kalshi	90%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?	Kalshi	69%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?	Kalshi	43%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?	Kalshi	16%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?	Kalshi	7%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

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97%

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$4.15K

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About This Event

Vote Percent - Jon Ossoff If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results on

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Vote Percent - Jon Ossoff

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results on

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $391
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

Volume$4.15K

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KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received

KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received

KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 68.5¢No 31.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received

KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received

KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Ossoff in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received

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Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

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Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

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Events (1)

Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

Markets (8)

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

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Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?

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