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Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31? | PredictPedia

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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?

Name: Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$46.22K

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Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?

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Polymarket

markets · $46.22K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $46.22K

100%

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1 market tracked

Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?	Poly	3%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 31, 2026 (16 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased documents containing evidence that Jeffrey Epstein blackmailed a politician are made public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Blackmail is defined as any use or attempted use of compromising materials or information (such as photos, videos, documents, or incriminating knowledge) to coerce, extort, manipulate, or otherwise gain leverage over a specific person or persons.

Qualifying evidence t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased documents containing evidence that Jeffrey Epstein blackmailed a politician are made public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Blackmail is defined as any use or attempted use of compromising mate"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $46.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.82)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $46.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

15d 13h remaining

Jan 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

3¢

Polymarket

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Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?

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Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?

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Events (1)