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Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Name: Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$83.49K

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Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

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Polymarket

markets · $83.49K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $83.49K

100%

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1 market tracked

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, April 8, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** On January 24, 2026, a Border Patrol agent committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/us/politics/second-ice-shooting-minneapolis.html).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Border Patrol agent who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of his employing agency as of this market's creation for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement o

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"On January 24, 2026, a Border Patrol agent committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/us/politics/second-ice-shooting-minneapolis.html).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Border Patrol agent who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an emplo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $83.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $19.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.24)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $83.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Average Yes Price

0¢

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Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

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Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

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