Name: Celtics vs. Heat
End: 2026-01-16T00:30:00.000Z

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Celtics vs. Heat | PredictPedia

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42 markets tracked

Celtics vs. Heat: Over/Under 232.5

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Single-Platform Markets(42)

Market	Platform	Price
Celtics vs. Heat: Over/Under 232.5	Poly	100%
Norman Powell: Points Over 21.5	Poly	100%
Pelle Larsson: Points Over 9.5	Poly	100%
Kel'el Ware: Rebounds Over 7.5	Poly	100%
Celtics vs. Heat (Celtics win)	Poly	98%
Andrew Wiggins: Assists Over 2.5	Poly	94%
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds Over 4.5	Poly	83%
Bam Adebayo: Assists Over 2.5	Poly	79%
Payton Pritchard: Assists Over 5.5	Poly	79%
Anfernee Simons: Points Over 12.5	Poly	74%
Derrick White: Rebounds Over 4.5	Poly	53%
Anfernee Simons: Assists Over 2.5	Poly	53%
Tyler Herro: Assists Over 4.5	Poly	52%
Norman Powell: Rebounds Over 3.5	Poly	51%
Pelle Larsson: Rebounds Over 3.5	Poly	51%
Jaylen Brown: Points Over 29.5	Poly	51%
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds Over 6.5	Poly	51%
Jaylen Brown: Assists Over 5.5	Poly	51%
Tyler Herro: Assists Over 3.5	Poly	51%
Pelle Larsson: Assists Over 3.5	Poly	51%
Norman Powell: Assists Over 2.5	Poly	51%
Neemias Queta: Rebounds Over 9.5	Poly	51%
Luka Garza: Rebounds Over 5.5	Poly	51%
Derrick White: Assists Over 5.5	Poly	51%
Derrick White: Points Over 19.5	Poly	50%
Celtics vs. Heat: Over/Under 234.5	Poly	40%
Payton Pritchard: Points Over 16.5	Poly	37%
Celtics vs. Heat (Heat win)	Poly	3%
Tyler Herro: Rebounds Over 4.5	Poly	1%
1H Spread: Celtics (-0.5)	Poly	1%
Celtics vs. Heat: Over/Under 235.5	Poly	0%
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Poly	0%
Celtics vs. Heat: Over/Under 233.5	Poly	0%
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)	Poly	0%
Tyler Herro: Points Over 21.5	Poly	0%
Bam Adebayo: Points Over 15.5	Poly	0%
Andrew Wiggins: Points Over 13.5	Poly	0%
Kel'el Ware: Points Over 7.5	Poly	0%
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds Over 9.5	Poly	0%
Celtics vs. Heat: 1H Over/Under 120.5	Poly	0%
1H Spread: Celtics (-1.5)	Poly	0%
Celtics vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Celtics vs. Heat
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 16, 2026 (0 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 15 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics".
If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 15 at 7:30 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if the Celtics and Heat combine to score 236 or more points in this game.

If the combined total is less than 236, this market will resolve to "Under".

If the game is postponed, this market will re"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.80M
* **Total Liquidity:** $152.4K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 11.78)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Celtics vs. Heat: Over/Under 235.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $61
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 2. Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $61
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Celtics vs. Heat: Over/Under 233.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $76
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $233
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Celtics vs. Heat: Over/Under 232.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $174
  DATA: [Yes: 99.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.4% (0.0%)]

### 6. Tyler Herro: Points Over 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $233
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Norman Powell: Points Over 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 99.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.4% (0.0%)]

### 8. Bam Adebayo: Points Over 15.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $61
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 9. Andrew Wiggins: Points Over 13.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $76
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 10. Pelle Larsson: Points Over 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $137
  DATA: [Yes: 99.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.4% (0.0%)]

### 11. Kel'el Ware: Points Over 7.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $61
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 12. Bam Adebayo: Rebounds Over 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $56
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 13. Kel'el Ware: Rebounds Over 7.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $146
  DATA: [Yes: 99.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.4% (0.0%)]

### 14. Tyler Herro: Rebounds Over 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $119
  DATA: [Celtics: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [Heat: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds Over 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $129
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Norman Powell: Rebounds Over 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Pelle Larsson: Rebounds Over 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Tyler Herro: Assists Over 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Pelle Larsson: Assists Over 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Bam Adebayo: Assists Over 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $129
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Andrew Wiggins: Assists Over 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $159
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Norman Powell: Assists Over 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Jaylen Brown: Points Over 29.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Jaylen Brown: Rebounds Over 6.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Jaylen Brown: Assists Over 5.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Derrick White: Points Over 19.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Payton Pritchard: Points Over 16.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $78
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Anfernee Simons: Points Over 12.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $131
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Neemias Queta: Rebounds Over 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Luka Garza: Rebounds Over 5.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Derrick White: Rebounds Over 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $72
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Derrick White: Assists Over 5.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Payton Pritchard: Assists Over 5.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $131
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Tyler Herro: Assists Over 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Anfernee Simons: Assists Over 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $76
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Celtics vs. Heat: Over/Under 234.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $163.1K
  DATA: [Over: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Celtics vs. Heat (Celtics win)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $814.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Celtics vs. Heat (Heat win)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $814.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. 1H Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $181
  DATA: [Celtics: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Heat: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 40. Celtics vs. Heat: 1H Over/Under 120.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $361
  DATA: [Over: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [Under: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 41. Celtics vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Celtics: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Heat: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 42. 1H Spread: Celtics (-0.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $119
  DATA: [Celtics: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [Heat: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Celtics vs. Heat

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Celtics vs. Heat: Over/Under 232.5

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Events (1)

Celtics vs. Heat

Markets (42)

Celtics vs. Heat: Over/Under 232.5

Celtics vs. Heat: Over/Under 232.5

Norman Powell: Points Over 21.5

Norman Powell: Points Over 21.5

Pelle Larsson: Points Over 9.5

Pelle Larsson: Points Over 9.5

Kel'el Ware: Rebounds Over 7.5

Kel'el Ware: Rebounds Over 7.5

Celtics vs. Heat (Celtics win)

Celtics vs. Heat (Celtics win)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Celtics vs. Heat: Over/Under 232.5

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Celtics vs. Heat

Celtics vs. Heat: Over/Under 232.5

Celtics vs. Heat: Over/Under 232.5

Norman Powell: Points Over 21.5

Norman Powell: Points Over 21.5

Pelle Larsson: Points Over 9.5

Pelle Larsson: Points Over 9.5

Kel'el Ware: Rebounds Over 7.5

Kel'el Ware: Rebounds Over 7.5

Celtics vs. Heat (Celtics win)

Celtics vs. Heat (Celtics win)

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