Will FalleN retire by June 1? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Will FalleN retire by June 1?

Name: Will FalleN retire by June 1?
End: 2026-06-01T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$99.69

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Will FalleN retire by June 1?

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Polymarket

markets · $99.69

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $99.69

100%

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1 market tracked

Will FalleN retire by June 1?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will FalleN retire by June 1?	Poly	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

10%

Top Probability

$99.69

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FalleN, the professional Counter-Strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from FalleN that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless FalleN explicitly announces his retirement from

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will FalleN retire by June 1? 
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 1, 2026 (136 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if FalleN, the professional Counter-Strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

An announcement from FalleN that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. 

Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless FalleN explicitly announces his retirement from 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if FalleN, the professional Counter-Strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

An announcement from FalleN that he is retiring will qualify even if his of"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $100
* **Total Liquidity:** $104
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.96)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will FalleN retire by June 1? 
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 1, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

135d 12h remaining

Jun 01, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

10¢

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Will FalleN retire by June 1?

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Will FalleN retire by June 1?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)