$1.24M
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$1.24M
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Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
On Oct 28, 2025 If X is said by any Electronic Arts Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Electronic Arts Inc. earnings call, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. Video of the Electronic Arts Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Electronic Arts Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract.
Prediction markets are assigning a very low probability, approximately 3%, that Electronic Arts (EA) will mention "Jared" or "Kushner" during its upcoming October 28, 2025, earnings call. This price indicates the market views such a mention as highly unlikely, bordering on a remote possibility. With over $1.2 million in total volume across related markets, this specific contract has sufficient liquidity to suggest this is a considered consensus view among traders rather than mere noise.
The primary driver of the low probability is the complete lack of an obvious business connection between EA, a leading video game publisher, and Jared Kushner, the former presidential advisor and son-in-law. EA's earnings calls are tightly focused on financial performance, game franchise updates like FC 25 and Battlefield, and operational metrics such as live service engagement. Introducing a politically adjacent figure with no ties to the gaming or tech sector would be a significant and irrational deviation from standard corporate communication protocol. Historically, these calls stick rigorously to scripted remarks and analyst questions concerning the company's direct strategy and market performance.
The odds could experience volatility only in the event of an unprecedented and direct link emerging between Kushner and EA's business in the weeks before the call. A scenario where a Kushner-affiliated investment fund takes a major position in EA, or if EA announced a surprise partnership with a Kushner-linked entity, could cause the probability to spike. However, given the total absence of such news and the focused nature of earnings calls, the 3% price largely reflects a residual risk premium for highly unpredictable, off-tcript remarks. The market effectively prices this as a near-certain "No," with the minimal chance accounting for extreme outliers in executive commentary.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic focuses on whether specific statements will be made during Electronic Arts Inc.'s next scheduled earnings call on October 28, 2025. Earnings calls are quarterly events where publicly traded companies like EA disclose financial results, provide business updates, and answer questions from financial analysts. These calls are closely monitored by investors, industry observers, and the gaming community for insights into the company's performance, strategic direction, and outlook. The market resolves based on whether a predetermined statement, 'X', is uttered by any EA representative during the call, including the question-and-answer session. Resolution will primarily use video footage of the call, with transcripts from approved news publications serving as a secondary source if needed. Interest in this topic stems from the significant impact earnings calls have on EA's stock price, the competitive video game industry landscape, and the company's ongoing navigation of trends like live service games, mobile gaming, and intellectual property development. Participants are essentially speculating on the specific messaging and priorities EA's leadership will emphasize when communicating with the financial world.
Electronic Arts has a long history of quarterly earnings communications, with these calls becoming standardized events for investor transparency following the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. A significant historical precedent was the February 2013 call, where then-CEO John Riccitiello announced his resignation following disappointing sales of 'Medal of Honor: Warfighter' and 'NBA Live 13', highlighting how earnings calls can signal major corporate changes. More recently, calls have been dominated by discussions around EA's transition from a packaged goods model to a live service and digital-centric one. For instance, the July 2020 call heavily focused on the explosive growth of 'Apex Legends' and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on engagement, setting a template for discussing live service metrics. The January 2023 call was notable for EA's announcement of abandoning its acquisition of Codemasters after a higher bid from Take-Two Interactive, demonstrating how strategic maneuvers are communicated in this forum. These historical moments establish the earnings call as a platform for announcing financial results, strategic shifts, and addressing both successes and challenges in real-time.
EA's earnings calls matter because they directly influence market valuation and investor confidence. The statements made can cause immediate volatility in EA's stock price, affecting shareholders, employee stock compensation, and the company's ability to raise capital. Positive guidance or strong performance metrics can boost the stock, while missed expectations or cautious commentary can lead to significant sell-offs. Beyond finance, these calls offer a barometer for the broader video game industry. EA's performance and strategy discussions about live services, mobile gaming via its EA Sports FC Mobile and 'The Sims Mobile', and competition with rivals like Activision Blizzard and Take-Two provide insights into industry health and trends. The calls also matter to millions of gamers. Commentary on franchise roadmaps, game updates, or studio investments signals what future content players can expect for titles like 'EA Sports FC', 'Battlefield', and 'The Sims'. Negative news on a call could impact developer morale and studio stability, while positive news can energize development teams and community engagement.
As of late 2024, EA is operating in a competitive and evolving gaming market. Its most recent earnings report for Q1 FY2025, covering April to June 2024, showed net bookings of $1.62 billion. The company is in the midst of the second annual cycle of its flagship EA Sports FC franchise, following the conclusion of its 30-year partnership with FIFA. Performance of EA Sports FC 25 and updates to live service titles like 'Apex Legends' and 'The Sims 4' are likely recent focal points. The industry context includes ongoing consolidation, such as Microsoft's acquisition of Activision Blizzard, and a continued consumer focus on live service games and subscription offerings like EA Play. The upcoming October 28, 2025, call will provide an update on Q2 FY2025 performance and potentially refine full-year outlook.
EA typically schedules its earnings calls for 2:00 PM Pacific Time (5:00 PM Eastern Time) on the announced date. The exact time for the October 28, 2025, call will be confirmed in EA's earnings release press release, which is issued a few days prior.
The call is broadcast live via a webcast on the Investor Relations section of EA's official website. A replay and transcript are usually made available on the same site within 24 hours after the call concludes.
Revenue is an accounting measure recognized when a service is performed or a product is delivered. Net bookings represent the total value of goods and services sold in the period, including sales of digital items and subscriptions, and is considered EA's primary operational metric as it better reflects real-time business performance.
Comparisons are complex due to different fiscal calendars and business mixes. Analysts typically compare metrics like net bookings growth, operating margin, and live service engagement. Since Activision Blizzard is now part of Microsoft, comparisons are often made against Take-Two Interactive and Ubisoft as pure-play peers.
EA provides financial guidance, including expected net bookings and net income, for the upcoming quarter and full fiscal year. This guidance is a central component of the earnings call and is often the most market-moving information, as it signals management's confidence in near-term performance.
No, Electronic Arts does not currently pay a regular quarterly dividend. The company has historically prioritized reinvesting cash flow into game development, acquisitions, and share repurchases. This capital allocation strategy is frequently discussed on earnings calls.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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12 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Jared / Kushner) | Kalshi | 3% |
What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Underperformance) | Kalshi | 3% |
What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Skate) | Kalshi | 3% |
What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? (The Sims) | Kalshi | 3% |
What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Saudi Arabia) | Kalshi | 3% |
What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Mobile) | Kalshi | 3% |
What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Live Service) | Kalshi | 3% |
What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Player Engagement) | Kalshi | 3% |
What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Competition) | Kalshi | 3% |
What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Apex Legends) | Kalshi | 3% |
What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? (EA Sports FC) | Kalshi | 2% |
What will Electronic Arts Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Acquisition) | Kalshi | 2% |
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