StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $1.78M
1
11
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $1.78M
1
11
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is $2B at 2.6%.
Polymarket
- $2B2.6%
- $1B2.4%
- $800M1.8%
- $3B1.8%
- $400M1.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $1.78M
Reported volume · provider units
11
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Polymarket event asks whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of StandX's token will be greater than a threshold "1 day after launch" [1]. The rules define that timing as "4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch," and they say the token "must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch" [1]. The resolution source is "the most liquid price source available" [1].
The rules also set a backstop. If StandX does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves "No" [1]. That date is a deadline in the contract rules, not an announced launch date. The evidence does not show whether a launch has occurred or is scheduled.
The listed end time is 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z for one market and 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z for the others [1]. These times are provider-listed close times, and a one-minute difference between them is not meaningful for interpretation.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T16:44:17.938Z [1]. These prices describe that observation window only and may not reflect current conditions.
The sample contains all 11 saved markets for this event, with no partial sample flag [1]. Each market is a separate FDV threshold, so the thresholds should be compared individually rather than combined into one figure.
Yes prices in the snapshot range from 0.023 for the $100M threshold to 0.007 for the $10B threshold [1]. The $1B threshold shows 0.021, and the $50M threshold shows 0.017 [1]. Because the evidence lists markets by price rather than by threshold, a higher threshold can appear with a higher Yes price than a lower one, as the $1B and $50M markets illustrate [1]. These are quoted snapshots, not executable prices or verified probabilities.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include volume, order book depth, trader counts, or the reasons behind any price. It also does not establish whether StandX will launch a token, when that launch might occur, or what the token's valuation will be. Because the resolution source is described as the most liquid price source, the eventual measurement method may differ from any single snapshot. Differences in price between separate contracts should not be read as an arbitrage opportunity without checking their full terms.
References
- Polymarket: StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This Polymarket event asks whether the fully diluted valuation (FDV) of StandX's token will be greater than a threshold stated in each market title, measured one day after launch [1]. The rules say the market resolves "Yes" if that condition is met and "No" otherwise [1]. The excerpt names FDV but does not describe how it is calculated, so this article does not explain the calculation. The contract depends on a token launch. The rules say the token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to count as a launch [1]. They also state that if StandX does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "No" [1]. The timing rule defines "1 day after launch" as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch [1]. The resolution source is described as the most liquid price source available [1]. The event's listed end time in the saved data is January 1, 2027 at 04:59 UTC [1]. That date appears in the contract data. It is not an announced launch or resolution date for StandX. The saved event contains separate markets at different FDV thresholds, ranging from $50M to $10B in the saved sample. Each market has a Yes and a No outcome. The saved sample includes all 11 markets for this event, but that does not establish that every possible threshold is listed.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single condition: whether StandX's token FDV, as defined by the resolution source, is above a specified value one day after the token launches [1]. Because each threshold is a separate yes or no contract, the set of markets shows how trading prices differ across thresholds in this event [1]. A price in these markets is a snapshot of trading in that contract. It is not a verified probability of the outcome, and it is not an executable quote. Traders should read the rules for the launch definition, the timing rule, and the December 31, 2026 cutoff, since those determine how the contract resolves [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract resolve on?
It resolves to "Yes" if the fully diluted valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value in the market title one day after launch, and to "No" otherwise [1].
What counts as a launch?
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch [1].
What happens if StandX does not launch a token?
If StandX does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "No" [1].
When is "one day after launch" measured?
The rules define it as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
