Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

Name: Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?
End: 2026-11-03T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$121.78

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Markets

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Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

Vol

$121.78

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $121.78

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $121.78

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?	Poly	47%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

47%

Top Probability

$121.78

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballo

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 3, 2026 (23 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballo

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.

This market will resolve to "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $122
* **Total Liquidity:** $120
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $122
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics