GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Who will win the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards?

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Who will win the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards?

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$0.00

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (The Pitt)

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (The Pitt)	Kalshi	54%
Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Widow's Bay)	Kalshi	41%
Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Hacks)	Kalshi	6%
Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Pluribus)	Kalshi	3%
Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (DTF St. Louis)	Kalshi	2%
Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Spider-Noir)	Kalshi	1%
Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Saturday Night Live)	Kalshi	1%
Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Beef)	Kalshi	1%
Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (The Beast In Me)	Kalshi	1%
Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (The Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunny)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

54%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

Before 2026 If X wins the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, the market resolves to Yes. If two nominees tie for most awards, the market will resolve to 50/50. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 21, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will win the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2026

If X wins the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, the market resolves to Yes. If two nominees tie for most awards, the market will resolve to 50/50. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Widow's Bay wins the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two nominees tie for most awards, the market will resolve to 50/50. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Widow's Bay)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Spider-Noir)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Saturday Night Live)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Pluribus)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (The Pitt)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Hacks)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (DTF St. Louis)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Beef)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (The Beast In Me)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (The Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunny)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Who will win the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards?

Volume$0.00

Markets10

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KALSHI

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (The Pitt)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

KALSHICulture

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (The Pitt)

If The Pitt wins the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two nominees tie for most awards, the market will resolve to 50/50. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Widow's Bay)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.0¢No 59.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Widow's Bay)

If Widow's Bay wins the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two nominees tie for most awards, the market will resolve to 50/50. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Hacks)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHICulture

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Hacks)

If Hacks wins the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two nominees tie for most awards, the market will resolve to 50/50. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Pluribus)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHICulture

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Pluribus)

If Pluribus wins the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two nominees tie for most awards, the market will resolve to 50/50. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (DTF St. Louis)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHICulture

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (DTF St. Louis)

If DTF St. Louis wins the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two nominees tie for most awards, the market will resolve to 50/50. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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11¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/vNndxK" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will win the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards?"></iframe>

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Who will win the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards?

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Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (The Pitt)

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will win the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards?

Markets (10)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (The Pitt)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (The Pitt)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Widow's Bay)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Widow's Bay)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Hacks)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Hacks)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Pluribus)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Pluribus)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (DTF St. Louis)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (DTF St. Louis)

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Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (The Pitt)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will win the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards?

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (The Pitt)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (The Pitt)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Widow's Bay)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Widow's Bay)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Hacks)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Hacks)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Pluribus)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (Pluribus)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (DTF St. Louis)

Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? (DTF St. Louis)

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