Market snapshot: Oct 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Name: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud
End: 2026-10-23T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.89K

Events

Markets

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Vol

$2.89K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.89K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.89K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud	Poly	51%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud	Kalshi	—
Set 1 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud	Kalshi	—
Set 2 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud	Kalshi	—
Rafael Jodar vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Kalshi	—
Jodar vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Kalshi	—
Jodar vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Kalshi	—
Jodar vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Kalshi	—
Jodar vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Kalshi	—
Jodar vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Kalshi	—
Jodar vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Kalshi	—
Jodar vs. Ruud: Match Over/Under 21.5	Kalshi	—
Jodar vs. Ruud: Match Over/Under 22.5	Kalshi	—
Jodar vs. Ruud: Match Over/Under 23.5	Kalshi	—
Set Handicap: Rafael Jodar (-1.5) vs Casper Ruud (+1.5)	Kalshi	—
Game Spread: Rafael Jodar (-1.5) vs Casper Ruud (+1.5)	Kalshi	—

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

80%

Top Probability

$2.89K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Casper Ruud in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the schedul

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 23, 2026 (9 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Casper Ruud in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Casper Ruud.

This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Rafael Jodar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the schedul

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Casper Ruud in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Casper Ruud.

This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $162.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Rafael Jodar: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [Casper Ruud: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Rafael Jodar: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [Casper Ruud: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Rafael Jodar: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Casper Ruud: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Rafael Jodar vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Jodar vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Jodar vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Jodar vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Jodar vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Jodar vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Jodar vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Jodar vs. Ruud: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Jodar vs. Ruud: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Jodar vs. Ruud: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Rafael Jodar (-1.5) vs Casper Ruud (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Rafael Jodar: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [Casper Ruud: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Rafael Jodar (-1.5) vs Casper Ruud (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Rafael Jodar: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [Casper Ruud: 48.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Volume$2.89K

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes N/ANo N/A

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes N/ANo N/A

POLYMARKETSports

Set 1 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes N/ANo N/A

POLYMARKETSports

Set 2 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

Rafael Jodar vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes N/ANo N/A

POLYMARKETSports

Rafael Jodar vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Casper Ruud in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to

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Next Market Deadline

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Oct 23, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Saved price pairs

No exact saved pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/vRM96I" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud"></iframe>

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

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Events (1)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Markets (16)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Set 1 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Set 1 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Set 2 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Set 2 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Rafael Jodar vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Rafael Jodar vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Set 1 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Set 1 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Set 2 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Set 2 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Rafael Jodar vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Rafael Jodar vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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