Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

Name: M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana
End: 2026-10-18T18:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.06K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

Vol

$2.06K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.06K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.06K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana	Poly	100%
Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Francisco Montana (+1.5)	Poly	100%
Set Handicap: Francisco Montana (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$2.06K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mouilleron Salvo and Francisco Montana in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mouilleron Salvo' if Manuel Mouilleron Salvo advances against Francisco Montana. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Montana' if Francisco Montana advances against Manuel Mouilleron Salvo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been dete

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 18, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mouilleron Salvo and Francisco Montana in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mouilleron Salvo' if Manuel Mouilleron Salvo advances against Francisco Montana.

This market will resolve to 'Francisco Montana' if Francisco Montana advances against Manuel Mouilleron Salvo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been dete

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mouilleron Salvo and Francisco Montana in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mouilleron Salvo' if Manuel Mouilleron Salvo advances against Francisco Montana.

Th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.22)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Manuel Mouilleron Salvo: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Francisco Montana: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Francisco Montana (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Manuel Mouilleron Salvo: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [Francisco Montana: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set Handicap: Francisco Montana (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Francisco Montana: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [Manuel Mouilleron Salvo: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

Volume$2.06K

Markets3

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POLYMARKET

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

LiquidityLOW

Health Score30/100

Leading Outcome100.0%

Manuel Mouilleron Salvo

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Francisco Montana (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Francisco Montana (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mouilleron Salvo and Francisco Montana in the M15 Quito, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Manuel Mouilleron Salvo" if Manuel Mouilleron Salvo wins by 2 or more sets than Francisco Montana, based

LiquidityLOW

Health Score15/100

Leading Outcome99.5%

Manuel Mouilleron Salvo

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Francisco Montana (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Francisco Montana (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Montana and Manuel Mouilleron Salvo in the M15 Quito, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Francisco Montana" if Francisco Montana wins by 2 or more sets than Manuel Mouilleron Salvo, based on th

LiquidityLOW

Health Score15/100

Leading Outcome99.5%

Manuel Mouilleron Salvo

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Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

67¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/vTsuXC" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana"></iframe>

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M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

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M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

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Educational Context

Events (1)

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

Markets (3)

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Francisco Montana (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Francisco Montana (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Francisco Montana (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Francisco Montana (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)

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M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

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M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

M15 Quito: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Francisco Montana

Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Francisco Montana (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (-1.5) vs Francisco Montana (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Francisco Montana (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Francisco Montana (-1.5) vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (+1.5)

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