Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

PPI MoM in September

Total Volume

$704.44

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

PPI MoM in September

Vol

$704.44

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $704.44

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $704.44

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.3%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.3%?	Kalshi	62%
Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.2%?	Kalshi	62%
Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.5%?	Kalshi	59%
Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.4%?	Kalshi	59%
Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above -0.3%?	Kalshi	50%
Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above -0.2%?	Kalshi	50%
Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.1%?	Kalshi	50%
Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above -0.1%?	Kalshi	50%
Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.0%?	Kalshi	50%
Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.7%?	Kalshi	49%
Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.8%?	Kalshi	41%
Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.6%?	Kalshi	39%
Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.9%?	Kalshi	25%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$704.44

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

September 2026 If US PPI MoM for September 2026 is strictly above X , then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the month-over-month percentage change in the U.S. Producer Price Index for final demand. This market will use the headline figure, including food and energy, and not Core PPI or PPI excluding food, energy, and trade services. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** PPI MoM in September
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** September 2026

If US PPI MoM for September 2026 is strictly above X , then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the month-over-month percentage change in the U.S. Producer Price Index for final demand. This market will use the headline figure, including food and energy, and not Core PPI or PPI excluding food, energy, and trade services. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If US PPI MoM for September 2026 is strictly above 

0.9

, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the month-over-month percentage change in the U.S. Producer Price Index for final demand. This market will use the headline figure, including food and energy, and not Core "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $704
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.9%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $110
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.7%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $165
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $17
  DATA: [Yes: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $212
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.3%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above -0.3%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above -0.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.1%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above -0.1%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

PPI MoM in September

Volume$704.44

Markets13

13 of 13

Sort:

KALSHI

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.3%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.0¢No 38.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.3%?

If US PPI MoM for September 2026 is strictly above 0.3 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the month-over-month percentage change in the U.S. Producer Price Index for final demand. This market will use the headline figure, including food and energy, and not Core

KALSHI

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.2%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.0¢No 38.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.2%?

If US PPI MoM for September 2026 is strictly above 0.2 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the month-over-month percentage change in the U.S. Producer Price Index for final demand. This market will use the headline figure, including food and energy, and not Core

KALSHI

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.5%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 59.0¢No 41.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.5%?

If US PPI MoM for September 2026 is strictly above 0.5 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the month-over-month percentage change in the U.S. Producer Price Index for final demand. This market will use the headline figure, including food and energy, and not Core

KALSHI

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.4%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.5¢No 41.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.4%?

If US PPI MoM for September 2026 is strictly above 0.4 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the month-over-month percentage change in the U.S. Producer Price Index for final demand. This market will use the headline figure, including food and energy, and not Core

KALSHI

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above -0.3%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above -0.3%?

If US PPI MoM for September 2026 is strictly above -0.3 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the month-over-month percentage change in the U.S. Producer Price Index for final demand. This market will use the headline figure, including food and energy, and not Core

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50¢

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PPI MoM in September

PPI MoM in September

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Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.3%?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

PPI MoM in September

Markets (13)

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.3%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.3%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.2%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.2%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.5%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.5%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.4%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.4%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above -0.3%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above -0.3%?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.3%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

PPI MoM in September

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.3%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.3%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.2%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.2%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.5%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.5%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.4%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above 0.4%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above -0.3%?

Will US PPI MoM for September 2026 be above -0.3%?

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