Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US gas prices this week

Total Volume

$571.17K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

US gas prices this week

Vol

$571.17K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $571.17K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $571.17K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

24 markets tracked

Will average gas prices be above $4.3400?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
Will average gas prices be above $4.3400?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3200?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3000?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2800?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2600?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2400?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2200?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2000?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $4.1800?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3500?	Kalshi	94%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3600?	Kalshi	7%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3700?	Kalshi	2%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3900?	Kalshi	1%
Will average gas prices be above $4.5600?	Kalshi	1%
Will average gas prices be above $4.5400?	Kalshi	1%
Will average gas prices be above $4.5200?	Kalshi	1%
Will average gas prices be above $4.5000?	Kalshi	1%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4800?	Kalshi	1%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4600?	Kalshi	1%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4400?	Kalshi	1%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4200?	Kalshi	1%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4000?	Kalshi	1%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3800?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$571.17K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 12, 2026 If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than X on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US gas prices this week
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 12, 2026

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than X on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.3900 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $571.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3900?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3700?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $50.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $30.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.5600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.5400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.5200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.5000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4800?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $21.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $22.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $21.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $19.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $31.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3800?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $51.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $96.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $46.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $28.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $21.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2800?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $31.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $19.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $19.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $16.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $8.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $10.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US gas prices this week

On Oct 12, 2026 If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than X on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$571.17K

Markets24

24 of 24

Sort:

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.3400?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $4.3400?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.3400 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.3200?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $4.3200?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.3200 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.3000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $4.3000?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.3000 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.2800?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $4.2800?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.2800 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.2600?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $4.2600?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.2600 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Average Yes Price

46¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/vZ3Ew3" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US gas prices this week"></iframe>

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US gas prices this week

US gas prices this week

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Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3400?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

US gas prices this week

Markets (24)

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3400?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3400?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3200?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3200?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2800?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2800?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2600?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2600?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

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Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3400?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US gas prices this week

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3400?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3400?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3200?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3200?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2800?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2800?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2600?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2600?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget

Will average gas prices be above $4.3400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.3400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.3400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.3200?

Will average gas prices be above $4.3200?

Will average gas prices be above $4.3000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.3000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2800?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2800?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2600?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2600?

Will average gas prices be above $4.3400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.3400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.3400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.3200?

Will average gas prices be above $4.3200?

Will average gas prices be above $4.3000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.3000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2800?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2800?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2600?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2600?