Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3

Total Volume

$3.78K

Events

Markets

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South Africa unemployment rate in Q3

Vol

$3.78K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.78K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.78K

100%

Kalshi leads

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9 markets tracked

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.0%)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.0%)	Kalshi	96%
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.5%)	Kalshi	92%
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.0%)	Kalshi	47%
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.5%)	Kalshi	39%
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 33.0%)	Kalshi	18%
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 33.5%)	Kalshi	13%
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 34.0%)	Kalshi	11%
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 34.5%)	Kalshi	4%
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 35.0%)	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$3.78K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

South Africa UE Q3 2026 If the South Africa unemployment rate is above X for Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** South Africa unemployment rate in Q3
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** South Africa UE Q3 2026

If the South Africa unemployment rate is above X for Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the South Africa unemployment rate is above 35.0% for Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 35.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $803
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 34.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 34.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $216
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 33.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 33.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $271
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $850
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $510
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $418
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3

Volume$3.78K

Markets9

9 of 9

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KALSHI

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.0%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.0%)

If the South Africa unemployment rate is above 31.0% for Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.5%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.5%)

If the South Africa unemployment rate is above 31.5% for Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.0%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.0¢No 53.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.0%)

If the South Africa unemployment rate is above 32.0% for Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.5%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.5¢No 61.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.5%)

If the South Africa unemployment rate is above 32.5% for Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 33.0%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 33.0%)

If the South Africa unemployment rate is above 33.0% for Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/vc8zzb" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="South Africa unemployment rate in Q3"></iframe>

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South Africa unemployment rate in Q3

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3

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South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.0%)

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Events (1)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3

Markets (9)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.0%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.0%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.5%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.5%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.0%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.0%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.5%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.5%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 33.0%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 33.0%)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.0%)

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South Africa unemployment rate in Q3

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.0%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.0%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.5%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.5%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.0%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.0%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.5%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.5%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 33.0%)

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 33.0%)

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