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Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriff's by...? | PredictPedia

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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriff's by...?

Name: Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriff's by...?
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$121.89K

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Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriff's by...?

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Polymarket

markets · $121.89K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $121.89K

100%

Polymarket leads

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1 market tracked

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriff's by January 31?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriff's by January 31?	Poly	64%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriff's by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 31, 2026 (15 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court issues an official ruling in the case Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc. by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official ruling on the case is defined as any decision on the merits of the case issued by the Supreme Court, including but not limited to a written opinion, summary disposition, or per curiam opinion.

If the case is dismissed as improvidently granted, dismi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court issues an official ruling in the case Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc. by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official ruling on the case is defined as any decision on t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $55.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.4K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 8.58)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriff's by January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $55.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

14d 12h remaining

Jan 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

64¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/vjnOQF" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriff's by...?"></iframe>

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Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriff's by...?

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriff's by...?

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Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriff's by January 31?

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Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)