ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract is titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET" and is listed on Polymarket [1]. According to the source, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a ZCash market on another platform should check whether that market uses the same data stream, averaging method, and window. Wording differences like these can change what a "Up" outcome means even when the titles look similar.
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T16:20:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time, not a confirmed resolution time. The evidence does not show whether or when the market has resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z and retrieved at 2026-10-25T19:43:40.494Z [1]. The prices below describe that observation only. They do not describe current conditions.
- Up: 0.5
- Down: 0.5 [1]
These are quoted snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. A reader should not treat them as an estimate of the chance of either outcome. The evidence does not include volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so it says nothing about how liquid the market was or how many participants held each view.
The sample covers one market for this event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The source also states that all saved markets for these events are included, but that "This does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Since this is a binary contract with both sides shown, no omitted outcome is involved here.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices were equal at the observation time. It also does not show whether prices have changed since then, what the market's trading history looks like, or how the contract will settle. Comparing this contract with other ZCash or crypto price markets requires matching the resolution source, time window, and listed close time before drawing any conclusion.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window price contract on the ZCash (ZEC) price, listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of ZCash will be higher or lower over a five-minute window on the morning of October 26, measured against the price at the start of that window. The resolution rules are specific. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. Because the comparison uses greater than or equal to, a tie at the averaged level resolves to "Up" rather than "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink. The rules name the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink as the source [1]. The contract states that it concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. A reader should therefore treat the Chainlink stream, rather than a particular exchange quote, as the reference for how the contract settles [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-26T16:20:00.000Z [1]. The event is shown as active in the provider record [1]. That end time is the scheduled close of the contract and the end of the measurement window; it is not a record of when the contract settled.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average ZEC/USD price over a specific five-minute window, as reported by the Chainlink TWAP data stream, finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses an average over the window rather than a single price at the close, a brief move at the end of the window may affect the result differently than a closing price comparison would [1]. Its short duration and narrow resolution rules make it a contract about one defined price measurement, not a general view of ZCash.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as an "Up" result?
The market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of ZCash over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source determines the outcome?
The outcome is determined by the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When is the contract scheduled to end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T16:20:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.