Market snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Bank of Russia rate decision in December

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Bank of Russia rate decision in December

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Snapshot from Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Maintain current rate at 59.5%.

Kalshi

Maintain current rate59.5%
Cut 1-25bps22%
Cut more than 25bps13%
Hike more than 25bps9.5%
Hike 1-25bps7%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

5 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the Bank of Russia maintain the current rate at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Bank of Russia maintain the current rate at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?	Kalshi	59.5%
Will the Bank of Russia cut 1-25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?	Kalshi	22.0%
Will the Bank of Russia cut more than 25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?	Kalshi	13.0%
Will the Bank of Russia hike more than 25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?	Kalshi	9.5%
Will the Bank of Russia hike 1-25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?	Kalshi	7.0%

Rules & Resolution

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Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Dec 18, 2026 meeting If the Bank of Russia takes the action of X more than 25bps at its December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. This market will close and expire early if the central bank announces its decision.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Bank of Russia rate decision in December
Source snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 5 of 5 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the Bank of Russia maintain the current rate at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26DEC18-HOLD; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisionrussia-26dec18
Observed: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Dec 25, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 59.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 40.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Bank of Russia takes the action of maintain current rate at its December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the central bank announces its decision.

Contract: Will the Bank of Russia hike more than 25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26DEC18-H25P; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisionrussia-26dec18
Observed: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Dec 25, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Bank of Russia takes the action of hike more than 25bps at its December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the central bank announces its decision.

Contract: Will the Bank of Russia hike 1-25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26DEC18-H25; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisionrussia-26dec18
Observed: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Dec 25, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Bank of Russia takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the central bank announces its decision.

Contract: Will the Bank of Russia cut more than 25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26DEC18-C25P; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisionrussia-26dec18
Observed: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Dec 25, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 13.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Bank of Russia takes the action of cut more than 25bps at its December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the central bank announces its decision.

Contract: Will the Bank of Russia cut 1-25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26DEC18-C25; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisionrussia-26dec18
Observed: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Dec 25, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 22.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Bank of Russia takes the action of cut 1-25bps at its December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the central bank announces its decision.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Bank of Russia rate decision in December

Volume$0.00

Markets5

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Will the Bank of Russia maintain the current rate at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

kalshi

Will the Bank of Russia maintain the current rate at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

Yes: 59.5¢
No: 40.5¢

Will the Bank of Russia cut 1-25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

kalshi

Will the Bank of Russia cut 1-25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

Yes: 22.0¢
No: 78.0¢

Will the Bank of Russia cut more than 25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

kalshi

Will the Bank of Russia cut more than 25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

Yes: 13.0¢
No: 87.0¢

Will the Bank of Russia hike more than 25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

kalshi

Will the Bank of Russia hike more than 25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

Yes: 9.5¢
No: 90.5¢

Will the Bank of Russia hike 1-25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

kalshi

Will the Bank of Russia hike 1-25bps at the December Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

Yes: 7.0¢
No: 93.0¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

PM $534.6K · K 515.5K contracts

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bank of Canada hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 90.5%Rules differK Yes 45.5%

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bank of Canada hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 90.5%Rules differK Yes 80.5%

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?

Kalshi: Will Bank of Canada hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 81.5%Rules differK Yes 45.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

18 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Bank of Japan rate decision in December

PM $283.4K · K 41.3K contracts

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.8%Rules differK Yes 28.5%

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the October 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 97.8%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Hike 25bps at the December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 74%Rules differK Yes 71.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

13 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

Bank of Russia rate decision in October

PM $389.4K · K 13.7K contracts

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Russia maintain current rate at the October Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 80.5%Rules differK Yes 81%

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Russia cut 1-25bps at the October Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 19%Rules differK Yes 9.5%

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Russia hike 1-25bps at the October Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.3%Rules differK Yes 4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

Swiss National Bank rate decision in December

PM $63.4K · K 31.5K contracts

Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 78.7%Rules differK Yes 80.5%

Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank hike 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Related contracts

PM Yes 18.8%Rules differK Yes 15.5%

Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank hike more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

PM $17.7K · K 16.9K contracts

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 78.5%Rules differK Yes 72%

Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India maintain the current rate at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 21%

Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India cut 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiCompanies

Bank of Mexico rate decision in December

K 2.3K contracts

Will the Bank of Mexico Maintain current rate at the December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?Yes 88%

Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 25bps at the December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?Yes 8.5%

Will the Bank of Mexico Hike 25bps at the December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?Yes 3%

+4 moreNext deadline Dec 24, 2026 UTC

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Dec 25, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC

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Bank of Russia rate decision in December

Bank of Russia rate decision in December

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