KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi | PredictPedia

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KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi

Name: KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi
End: 2026-01-30T16:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$79.69

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KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi

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markets · $79.69

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Volume DistributionTotal: $79.69

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KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi

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Market	Platform	Price
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi	Poly	63%

AI Analysis

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63%

Top Probability

$79.69

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About This Event

In the upcoming KHL game, scheduled for January 30 at 11:30AM ET: If Shanghai Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Shanghai Dragons". If HC Sochi win, the market will resolve to "HC Sochi". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** In the upcoming KHL game, scheduled for January 30 at 11:30AM ET:
If Shanghai Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Shanghai Dragons".
If HC Sochi win, the market will resolve to "HC Sochi".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout,

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming KHL game, scheduled for 2026-01-30:
If Shanghai Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Shanghai Dragons".
If HC Sochi win, the market will resolve to "HC Sochi".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entire"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $80
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $80
  DATA: [Shanghai Dragons: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [HC Sochi: 37.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Overview

This prediction market concerns the outcome of a regular season Kontinental Hockey League (KHL) game between the Shanghai Dragons and HC Sochi. The KHL is the premier professional ice hockey league in Eurasia, featuring teams from Russia, China, Kazakhstan, and Belarus. The market will resolve based on the official final result of the game scheduled for January 12, including any overtime or shootout periods. The Shanghai Dragons represent one of the league's two Chinese franchises, based in Shanghai, while HC Sochi is a Russian club from the Black Sea resort city. This matchup is part of the KHL's 2024-2025 regular season schedule, where teams compete for playoff positioning. Interest in this specific game stems from several factors, including the ongoing development of hockey in China, the competitive disparity between the teams, and the logistical challenges of the Dragons' travel schedule. The game is scheduled for a morning Eastern Time start to accommodate the time zone difference for the Chinese audience. The result will be determined by the official KHL score sheet published after the game concludes.

Historical Context

The Shanghai Dragons joined the KHL as an expansion team for the 2016-2017 season, part of the league's strategic effort to grow hockey in China ahead of the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics. The franchise has historically struggled, failing to qualify for the Gagarin Cup playoffs in any of its first eight seasons. Their best finish was 11th in the Eastern Conference during the 2018-2019 season. HC Sochi entered the KHL in 2014, relocating from the now-defunct HC Donbass due to the conflict in Eastern Ukraine. Sochi achieved its greatest success in the 2015-2016 season, reaching the Western Conference Finals. In recent years, both teams have frequently finished near the bottom of their respective conferences. Head-to-head history shows a competitive record, though games are infrequent due to the conference-based schedule. The last meeting between the teams was during the 2022-2023 season, where HC Sochi won both contests by a combined score of 9-3. The broader context includes the KHL's continued operation despite geopolitical tensions and the withdrawal of several non-Russian clubs following Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

Why It Matters

For the KHL, games involving the Chinese franchises are important for maintaining the league's international profile and its broadcasting partnerships in Asia. The performance of the Shanghai Dragons is often viewed as a barometer for the health of professional hockey development in China, a market with significant long-term growth potential for the sport. A strong showing from the Dragons can boost local fan engagement and commercial interest. For HC Sochi, every game carries weight in a tight race to avoid finishing last in the Western Conference, which has implications for draft lottery odds and offseason planning. The financial stability of both clubs is influenced by their on-ice results, affecting sponsorship revenue and potential player budgets for the following season. For players, especially those on expiring contracts, performances in these late-season games can determine future employment opportunities within the KHL or other leagues.

Current Status

As of early January 2025, the Shanghai Dragons are near the bottom of the KHL's Eastern Conference standings. The team is on a lengthy road trip through Russia and Kazakhstan. HC Sochi is also struggling, sitting in 11th place in the Western Conference. Both teams have made recent roster adjustments, with Sochi activating a new import forward from Finland in late December. The game is scheduled to proceed as planned at the Bolshoy Ice Dome in Sochi. The latest injury reports list several players as day-to-day for both sides, which could affect lineup decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What channel is the KHL game between Shanghai Dragons and HC Sochi on?

Broadcast rights vary by region. In Russia and CIS countries, the game is typically carried on KHL TV or Match TV. International viewers can often stream the game via the official KHL subscription service or through regional sports networks that hold KHL rights.

Where do the Shanghai Dragons play their home games?

The Shanghai Dragons play their home games at the Arena Shanghai, also known as the Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre, which has a capacity of approximately 18,000 for hockey. The team has occasionally played games in other Chinese cities to promote the sport.

Has a Chinese team ever won the KHL Gagarin Cup?

No Chinese-based team has won the Gagarin Cup. The Shanghai Dragons and Kunlun Red Star have not advanced beyond the first round of the KHL playoffs since their entries into the league. The championship has been won exclusively by clubs based in Russia, Kazakhstan, and formerly Belarus.

Who is the all-time leading scorer for HC Sochi?

As of the 2024-2025 season, Russian forward Igor Ignatushkin is HC Sochi's all-time franchise leader in points. He accumulated the majority of these points during multiple stints with the club between 2014 and 2023.

What happens if a KHL game is postponed?

If a KHL game is postponed, the league reschedules it for a later date, usually during a common break in both teams' schedules. The game is then played to completion, and the result is recorded as part of the regular season standings.

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Updated Feb 21, 2026

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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Educational Context

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