Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Home Runs

Total Volume

$891.97K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Home Runs

Vol

$891.97K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $891.97K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $891.97K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

33 markets tracked

Shohei Ohtani: 1+ home runs?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(33)

Market	Platform	Price
Shohei Ohtani: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	17%
Max Muncy (LAD): 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	15%
Jackson Chourio: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	13%
Will Smith: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	12%
William Contreras: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	12%
Teoscar Hernández: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	11%
Mookie Betts: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	10%
Jake Bauers: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	10%
Freddie Freeman: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	10%
Kyle Tucker: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	9%
Andy Pages: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	9%
Andrew Vaughn: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	8%
Enrique Hernández: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	8%
Garrett Mitchell: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	6%
Joey Ortiz: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Cooper Pratt: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Brice Turang: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Luis Lara: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Teoscar Hernández: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Max Muncy (LAD): 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Jackson Chourio: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Shohei Ohtani: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Andrew Vaughn: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Will Smith: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Kyle Tucker: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Jake Bauers: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Garrett Mitchell: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Enrique Hernández: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
William Contreras: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Brice Turang: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Mookie Betts: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Freddie Freeman: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Andy Pages: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

17%

Top Probability

$891.97K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

LAD vs MIL (Oct 11) If Andrew Vaughn records X home runs in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Andrew Vaughn is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Andrew Vaughn starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Andrew Va

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Home Runs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** LAD vs MIL (Oct 11)

If Andrew Vaughn records X home runs in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Andrew Vaughn is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Andrew Vaughn starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Andrew Va

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Andrew Vaughn records 2+ home runs in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Andrew Vaughn is scratched or not included in the start"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $892.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Andrew Vaughn: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Andrew Vaughn: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $18.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Smith: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $311
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Smith: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $7.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Teoscar Hernández: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Teoscar Hernández: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $16.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Max Muncy (LAD): 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Max Muncy (LAD): 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $45.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Luis Lara: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $914
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Kyle Tucker: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $580
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Kyle Tucker: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $14.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Joey Ortiz: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Jake Bauers: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $387
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Jake Bauers: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $25.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Garrett Mitchell: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Garrett Mitchell: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Enrique Hernández: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $120
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Enrique Hernández: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $25.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Cooper Pratt: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. William Contreras: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $21.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. William Contreras: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $53.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Jackson Chourio: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Jackson Chourio: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $99.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Brice Turang: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Brice Turang: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $50.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Shohei Ohtani: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $105.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Shohei Ohtani: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $147.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Mookie Betts: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Mookie Betts: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $80.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Freddie Freeman: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $16.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Freddie Freeman: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $105.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Andy Pages: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Andy Pages: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $26.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Home Runs

Volume$891.97K

Markets33

33 of 33

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KALSHI

Shohei Ohtani: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Shohei Ohtani: 1+ home runs?

If Shohei Ohtani records 1+ home runs in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Shohei Ohtani is scratched or not included in the start

KALSHI

Max Muncy (LAD): 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Max Muncy (LAD): 1+ home runs?

If Max Muncy (LAD) records 1+ home runs in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Max Muncy (LAD) is scratched or not included in the s

KALSHI

Jackson Chourio: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Jackson Chourio: 1+ home runs?

If Jackson Chourio records 1+ home runs in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Jackson Chourio is scratched or not included in the s

KALSHI

Will Smith: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Will Smith: 1+ home runs?

If Will Smith records 1+ home runs in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Will Smith is scratched or not included in the starting li

KALSHI

William Contreras: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

William Contreras: 1+ home runs?

If William Contreras records 1+ home runs in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If William Contreras is scratched or not included in t

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Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Home Runs

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Home Runs

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Shohei Ohtani: 1+ home runs?

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Events (1)

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Home Runs

Markets (33)

Shohei Ohtani: 1+ home runs?

Shohei Ohtani: 1+ home runs?

Max Muncy (LAD): 1+ home runs?

Max Muncy (LAD): 1+ home runs?

Jackson Chourio: 1+ home runs?

Jackson Chourio: 1+ home runs?

Will Smith: 1+ home runs?

Will Smith: 1+ home runs?

William Contreras: 1+ home runs?

William Contreras: 1+ home runs?

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Shohei Ohtani: 1+ home runs?

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Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Home Runs

Shohei Ohtani: 1+ home runs?

Shohei Ohtani: 1+ home runs?

Max Muncy (LAD): 1+ home runs?

Max Muncy (LAD): 1+ home runs?

Jackson Chourio: 1+ home runs?

Jackson Chourio: 1+ home runs?

Will Smith: 1+ home runs?

Will Smith: 1+ home runs?

William Contreras: 1+ home runs?

William Contreras: 1+ home runs?

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