Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Will Delaware franchise-tax revenue exceed its FY2027 forecast?

Total Volume

$50.00

Events

Markets

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Will Delaware franchise-tax revenue exceed its FY2027 forecast?

Vol

$50.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $50.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $50.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Franchise Tax receipts for FY2027 be above $1.344 billion?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Franchise Tax receipts for FY2027 be above $1.344 billion?	Kalshi	56%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$50.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

FY2027 If the State of Delaware reports Franchise Tax receipts for FY2027 above $1.344 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution uses gross Franchise Tax receipts for Delaware fiscal year 2027, covering July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, as reported in the State’s Statement of General Fund Receipts and Refund Disbursements by Major Category. It does not include Bank Franchise Tax, which Delaware reports separately, and it does not subtract Franchise Tax refund disbursements. Reso

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Delaware franchise-tax revenue exceed its FY2027 forecast?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** FY2027

If the State of Delaware reports Franchise Tax receipts for FY2027 above 

$1.344 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution uses gross Franchise Tax receipts for Delaware fiscal year 2027, covering July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, as reported in the State’s Statement of General Fund Receipts and Refund Disbursements by Major Category. It does not include Bank Franchise Tax, which Delaware reports separately, and it does not subtract Franchise Tax refund disbursements.

Reso

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the State of Delaware reports Franchise Tax receipts for FY2027 above 

$1.344 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution uses gross Franchise Tax receipts for Delaware fiscal year 2027, covering July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, as reported in the State’s Statement o"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $50
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Franchise Tax receipts for FY2027 be above $1.344 billion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 6, 2027): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics