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GroupPOLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 23?

Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 23?
Vol

PM $191.61

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Events

1

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Markets

11

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 19°C at 35.5%.

Polymarket

  1. 19°C35.5%
  2. 20°C22.5%
  3. 18°C20%
  4. 23°C or higher16.5%
  5. 21°C14.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $191.61

Reported volume · provider units

11

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) on 23 Oct '26. The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported. A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count. Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label. For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits. After the T, one digit for sign (0 positive, 1 negative) and three for tenths of a degree Celsius give the temperature; the following four are the dew point and are not used. T01390133 is 13.9°C; T10171022 is −1.7°C. If a routine observation does not carry the hourly temperature remark, the temperature group in the body of that observation governs for that observation, in whole degrees Celsius as reported. It appears as temperature and dew point separated by a slash, with M marking a negative value: 18/12 is 18°C; M11/M17 is −11°C. An observation that reports no temperature in either place is disregarded. Each market in this event states its range in whole degrees Celsius. The qualifying value is rounded to the nearest whole degree, with a value ending in exactly half rounded up to the next higher whole degree, and that whole Celsius value determines which range contains it. For example, 13.9°C counts as 14°C; 17.4°C counts as 17°C; 16.5°C counts as 17°C; −1.7°C counts as −2°C; −8.5°C counts as −8°C. An observation counts if its time stamp, converted to the station's local time (including any daylight-saving shift in effect), falls on the observation date. This market will resolve at the issuance of the first METAR observation for the station on the day following the observation date or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. Resolution is determined from the observations the resolution source shows for the observation date. In the event that the Aviation Weather Center has published no routine observation reporting a temperature for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that neither source has published data sufficient to determine a temperature for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The report the resolution source shows for a given observation time is the one that counts, whether or not it is marked as a correction (COR). Changes to observations within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered. Where the first routine observation for the following date is published before that deadline, resolution is determined from a read taken after it. Where it is not, resolution is determined from a read taken at that deadline. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be the routine observations for Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) published here: https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=ZSQD&format=raw&date=2026-10-23T16:00:00Z&hours=27

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 23?

Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 23?

PM $2.6K
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 23?Yes 25%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 23?Yes 22%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 23?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Ankara on October 23?

Highest temperature in Ankara on October 23?

PM $676.02
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 23?Yes 42%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 23?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 23?Yes 8%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 23?

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 23?

PM $601.62
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 23?Yes 42%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 23?Yes 30%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 23?Yes 21%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Busan on October 23?

Highest temperature in Busan on October 23?

PM $463.9
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 23?Yes 36.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 23?Yes 29.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 23?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Madrid on October 23?

Highest temperature in Madrid on October 23?

PM $446.25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 23?Yes 53.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 23?Yes 23%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 23?Yes 22%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 23?

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 23?

PM $366.57
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 23?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 23?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 23?Yes 17.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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