Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Source snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T15:00:06.203Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on whether the price of Hyperliquid will be higher or lower over a fixed window. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules name the resolution source as the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The title refers to "Hyperliquid," while the rules specify the HYPE/USD pair on a TWAP basis. A reader should rely on the rules, not the shorter title, to understand what is being measured. The listed end time is 2026-11-02T03:30:00.000Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-11-01T15:00:06.203Z and retrieved at 2026-11-01T16:21:52.089Z [1]. The observation is the time the provider data was recorded, so it should not be read as a live price at the time you are reading this.
At that observation, the "Up" outcome was priced at 0.505 and the "Down" outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The gap between them is small, and it reflects only what was recorded at that moment. The saved data does not explain why the prices stood where they did.
The sample contains one market from one provider event. Coverage is complete for that event (one of one market included, with no partial sample), but the sample does not show other platforms or related contracts [1]. No comparison with other contracts or platforms should be drawn from this data.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the current price, trading depth, or the number of participants. The volume figure is not included, and volume would not indicate liquidity in any case.
The contract is listed as active with a provider status of active at the time of retrieval [1]. The saved data cannot tell you whether the market is still trading when you read this, or what the TWAP will show when the window closes. The resolution outcome is not in the evidence.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T15:00:06.203Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term crypto price contract on Polymarket, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 10:15 PM to 10:30 PM ET." It asks whether the price of HYPE/USD over a fifteen-minute window will finish at or above where it started. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is based on a specific data feed. The stated resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The source states that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink TWAP data stream for the HYPE/USD pair, and not any other sources or spot markets [1]. This means that a price shown on an exchange or another data service would not decide the outcome on its own terms, since the contract names one feed. The snapshot available for this contract was taken at 2026-11-01T15:00:06.203Z, with the source retrieved at 2026-11-01T16:21:52.074Z [1]. At that observation, the Up outcome was priced at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are observed prices from one moment, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of either outcome. The source lists the contract as active at retrieval, with a listed end time of 2026-11-02T03:30:00.000Z [1]. The listed end time is the time the contract is set to close according to the provider. It is not a record of when the contract actually resolved, and this snapshot does not show a resolution. The market sample here covers one provider event with one market, and it is not a partial sample [1]. The Up and Down outcomes are the only outcomes listed for this market. Volume information was not part of the evidence, so nothing can be said about liquidity or the number of participants.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a time-weighted average of the HYPE/USD price over one fifteen-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses a TWAP rather than a single trade price, the result depends on the average across the window, and because it uses a named Chainlink data stream, the result depends on that feed rather than on other markets [1]. For anyone reading the prices, the snapshot shows how the market was priced at one observation time, not how it will settle [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether the contract resolves Up?
It resolves Up if the TWAP of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source is used?
The stated resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the source says the market is not about the price according to any other sources or spot markets [1].
Do the prices show the chance that the price will rise?
The source gives the Up price as 0.505 and the Down price as 0.495 at one observation time [1]. These are snapshot prices, not verified probabilities, so they should not be read as a confirmed chance of either result [1].
What does the listed end time mean?
The source lists the end time as 2026-11-02T03:30:00.000Z [1]. This is the scheduled close recorded by the provider and does not show when the contract resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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