GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next President of the National Rally in 2026?

Name: Next President of the National Rally in 2026?
End: 2026-10-25T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$10.63K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next President of the National Rally in 2026?

Vol

$10.63K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $10.63K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.63K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	96%
Will David Rachline be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Marine Le Pen be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Louis Aliot be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Jean-Philippe Tanguy be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Sébastien Chenu be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Hélène Laporte be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Laurent Jacobelli be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$10.63K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced. This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next President of the National Rally in 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 25, 2026 (51 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Ra"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $74.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.14)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Marine Le Pen be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Louis Aliot be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Sébastien Chenu be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $976
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will David Rachline be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Hélène Laporte be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $981
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jean-Philippe Tanguy be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $988
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Laurent Jacobelli be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $734
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics