Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next President of the National Rally in 2026?

Reported volume

PM $42.7K

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Markets

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Next President of the National Rally in 2026?

Vol

PM $42.7K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Jordan Bardella at 99.4%.

Polymarket

Jordan Bardella99.4%
Jean-Philippe Tanguy0.7%
David Rachline0.4%
Marine Le Pen0.3%
Laurent Jacobelli0.1%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

8 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	99.4%
Will Jean-Philippe Tanguy be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	0.7%
Will David Rachline be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	0.4%
Will Marine Le Pen be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	0.3%
Will Laurent Jacobelli be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	0.1%
Will Louis Aliot be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Sébastien Chenu be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Hélène Laporte be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Poly	<0.1%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $42.7K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced. This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress. If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Next President of the National Rally in 2026?
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $42.7K
Coverage: 8 of 8 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2852811; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jordan-bardella-be-the-next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026-20260708193244735
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $29.4K
Outcome Yes: 99.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 0.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress.

If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Marine Le Pen be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2852812; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-marine-le-pen-be-the-next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026-20260708193244736
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.4K
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress.

If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Louis Aliot be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2852813; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-louis-aliot-be-the-next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026-20260708193244737
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.9K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress.

If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Sébastien Chenu be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2852814; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sebastien-chenu-be-the-next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026-20260708193244738
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.6K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress.

If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will David Rachline be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2852815; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-david-rachline-be-the-next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026-20260708193244739
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.0K
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress.

If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Hélène Laporte be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2852816; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-helene-laporte-be-the-next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026-20260708193244740
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.8K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress.

If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Jean-Philippe Tanguy be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2852817; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jean-philippe-tanguy-be-the-next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026-20260708193244741
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.1K
Outcome Yes: 0.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress.

If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Laurent Jacobelli be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2852818; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-laurent-jacobelli-be-the-next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026-20260708193244742
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.7K
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress.

If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics